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[lastpost] => 2793768 “流动性周期处于牛市”——这对比特币意味着什么？（转） 1769509635 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。7 j' ]/ b$ U5 C* _! d) U8 E1 Q. u$ }
美元抛售推高比特币. p- Q# N% v, c- e) f/ @; a
2 K+ b/ e4 ?8 ^Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以0 i i" }4 m( ^- }0 F G7 s
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来的最低水平。6 J( E$ O) F& q. F
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”2 u% T+ r6 N. c9 S
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7 a$ b2 v& q$ b根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指& d* j* K3 Z. X* y! `- W: c5 a+ z/ A$ P
' K( @ s. \- B- e3 I1 `: K数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
, v' y: A" ~. r. l: f
+ m& z5 _0 x1 Q+ T- pAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推- c% i% y# i5 w. a
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高黄金和比特币的价格。6 f7 k& I+ {" P, L) [" {6 Z
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化- l. @! F: M! y) u. d2 t
3 {7 h: J2 w- c: W! ~剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。( `8 F7 y8 A* Q3 W3 g% R2 l8 C; y
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
9 d4 K. _4 c8 f" f4 N4 J/ q# n4 @2 l, ]9 }
了8.7万美元。7 V# q( U& Y0 {% z7 O
+ c; n C* k/ E然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，6 W0 b- h, ` E; O0 P- E
; o# l: |7 r7 e" e8 T& u“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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6 ]* g6 y1 {0 n3 u: N) Y& p+ S3 T分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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$ H1 i, u! U* a" }# c* a“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”$ P# f) ?0 }6 |
$ _; X9 G0 z6 r% V( W' g! VCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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0 o9 ~( O& }4 |2 C易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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