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[虚拟币交流]
CryptoQuant：散户投资者的比特币转账活动保持低迷(转载)
[复制链接]
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据数据分析公司CryptoQuant数据显示，随着比特币逐渐逼近此前的历史高点，散户投资者正慢慢回流市场，但链上转账活动依然低迷。
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自2023年7月3日的本地底部以来，持仓少于1枚比特币的散户投资者已增持了18,000枚比特币，使其总持仓量达到175.3万枚比特币。
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CryptoQuant报告称，这一增持趋势表明，受比特币价格上升的乐观情绪推动，小型投资者正在试探性回归市场。 * O3 t) g# h, N3 `' }' y& y' T
比特币可能迎来新一轮牛市。据CryptoNews记者Ruholamin Haqshanas报道，Bitwise的阿尔法策略主管Jeff Park预测，如果唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）赢得2024年美国总统大选，比特币价格可能飙升至92,000美元。
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散户持仓增长依然乏力然而，尽管散户持仓有所增加，但相较历史标准，增长依然缓慢。据CryptoQuant报告，在过去30天内，散户持仓仅增加了1,000枚比特币，速度明显较此前时期放缓。 0 n4 D4 N5 [5 E o
( p3 C0 u' n" F6 e! w' w自2023年5月以来，散户持仓增速呈下降趋势，当时散户累积增持达到27,000枚比特币。这一显著的减速表明，虽然散户投资者重返市场，但他们的操作更加谨慎。 ) ^1 I- Y _$ o3 ^
相比之下，持仓1至10,000枚比特币的大型投资者在2024年加仓更加积极。数据显示，自年初以来，散户投资者共增持30,000枚比特币，而大型投资者的持仓则大幅增加了173,000枚比特币。这种差距突显了市场动态的转变，机构或高净值投资者正在推动当前的比特币需求。 ! i X- K/ }- r3 |2 m
进一步显示散户投资者谨慎行为的还有他们的比特币转账活动。2024年9月21日，散户投资者的比特币日转账金额（以美元计）降至3.26亿美元，为至少自2020年以来的最低水平。 0 m* P7 e- C+ {& ?( o3 A' t3 M
历史上，散户转账活动如此低迷往往预示着比特币价格的显著上涨，正如之前几轮牛市所见。 # m3 |# R6 {0 z( D# N
总体而言，尽管散户投资者重返市场，但其增持速度缓慢、转账活动减少，表明相较于大户，他们采取了更加谨慎的策略，CryptoQuant报告称。
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尽管散户回归相对温和，但在比特币接近历史高点且大户持续施压推高价格的背景下，散户的回归仍可能在下一轮比特币上涨中发挥关键作用。 |
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