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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
5 r' M9 B/ [# N2 W至少有以下几个原因：
6 S; T9 o2 I y2 n. S0 [# S$ f, e# v8 }4 v% s
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
2 N3 ?; u& H- r* w' h, b. e* T; }) M; F9 x# B# F6 A
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化" w& R7 K# ^) Q: n
7 B" R: l% P, v: m6 f' M8 P0 c机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
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# o: I+ {5 e- f2 C' C+ w出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
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3 h' G/ Y# i# S# q6 L( W325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数' T9 b" `" C8 r
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据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
* K0 h9 b) y" M1 H1 e$ T
h8 n* R' D0 J5 A达到200亿美金）
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2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊$ H2 u2 _; }/ q7 k/ u# Q
2 r) d5 Y- w X: v更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化+ @2 u. x. N. `# b; ]
* M% U/ V: H8 R) U4 T- A
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。- @7 ?" u- H; C5 U
) ^& R2 r% \1 L) d) E' P
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
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资金的信任和青睐。* J+ Z6 O" t( c+ a3 w
3 r, W b! @) k5 \4 `5 ?. T4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
0 C( [" M- [' m' R J8 b4 `4 F! V9 t. ^4 D9 W. `. o
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入+ `( H7 ~/ z) S2 x4 R9 X3 S; k
5 U+ g2 C4 l8 e: W4 ]8 t9 y
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
9 v, }; ~- {' U$ [+ N) t. G1 x$ R& W- I6 V' z
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