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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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8 M' o1 c) I) e( d m @美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
# z1 ^+ {# a- H+ \" U中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。) y7 ]9 x/ [$ U5 }& S3 P
且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
1 u! J2 f5 S6 w' u- |9 J ]' k官员预计：2024将降息3次
% V3 j: U; u: N( s- p虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季 h0 j( R* b1 h6 D0 g+ n! [
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也8 K9 [4 }7 H1 n% R$ u: @. b
已经开始讨论降息的时机。+ [9 {) M( x2 U! N# j& T
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅/ }( k2 t6 R" P3 `9 j
走高。7 O3 k8 Y5 h8 @7 a
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓. @: n2 @# q J) j5 I
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。; ~$ U5 i, q1 l4 ]1 B d( N
比特币冲破4.3万
: g* k2 D+ v e& }受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。4 W1 A% T/ X9 U7 S. |0 [! i; j
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。7 o: x4 t, D' d- c
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。% q! |$ p8 Q, J9 s
美股四大指数齐扬
1 t6 D/ I: _+ H, Y回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
7 G) g: U& ]. |8 f) N& w4 T道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
- v, J0 j2 d6 \+ S7 a8 `纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点# h5 J3 a- b) Z( W
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点8 a3 g5 f, @/ }7 ]) s
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点3 }: Z$ w/ L2 A* H- B
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
$ x) e5 f5 J# b. T4 ]- [另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。5 ^, j; ?1 X5 L
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将4 a+ F) Y& ]8 Q* O; L
跌到更接近3%水平。
+ Q' ?8 a: U8 @' m' f" y" G( n3 G J0 ~8 U
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