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[虚拟币交流]
SOL两周涨48%、稳守32美元！VanEck：乐观预测7年内破3千（30日转）
[复制链接]
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以太坊竞争对手、高速公链Solana的原生代币SOL近期势如破竹，过去两周涨幅达
/ U/ G4 O( ]) |+ Y$ V- y48.6%，而正当币价稳守32美元上方之际，资产管理公司VanEck预测指出，在最乐观的情况下，SOL将有望在7
4 i9 T* Y3 X) [( G2 K$ E/ i8 D/ W年内飙涨到3,211美元。
, n% Z3 t" ?7 v: o/ w3 x {3 Y- lVanEck在上周发表的报告中尝试将「VanEck标准化估值框架」套用在Solona身上，最终得以估算出SOL在多种3 m/ c. P9 \# g* [ f
情景下的目标价位。根据这份报告，到2030年，SOL基本上可以达到335美元；但若面临熊市则可能会跌至9.81" {! u5 V c! l1 l
美元。
8 I4 d6 s8 ^ S2 [- u5 N虽然潜力可期，但VanEck认为，即使现在距离2030年还有7年时间，但Solana到时候托管全球大部分加密货币交; |% y- t% n5 K6 f$ ^4 q
易的可能性仍低于以太坊。不过，VanEck的牛市分析框架显示，若Solana能避开以太坊叙事并实现「类似以太 w5 j! _, H: \
坊」的主导地位，则Solana网络在2030年的收入可望达到518亿美元，SOL目标价上看3,211美元。, g6 l- y! ^+ V; @
行情数据显示，SOL币价年初迄今上涨超过230%，市值超过137亿美元，是目前市值排名第8大的加密货币。截
& f5 w# V4 [: S6 w至发稿时，SOL的交易价格为32.57美元，这意味着SOL仍需上涨超过9,700%左右，才能达到3,211美元的「神迹
7 J- Y" @! E+ T* |$ S5 O! K. D价」。7 s4 ?" v8 W, k; K
值得注意的是，VanEck还在报告中模拟了「Solana是第一个托管超过1亿用户的应用程式的区块链」的场景，并7 Y% S3 ?/ i3 I! t
且从网路收入、用户量、dApp开发、网络效能等角度对Solana网络进行了全面的分析。, r k5 C" A8 K* W( K7 d
VanEck表示，目前Solana的数据吞吐量远胜于其他区块链，而且下一次的软体升级——「Firedancer升级」甚至. D8 b0 u' E" x- ^% ]- g- I
承诺可将Solana网络的容量再提升10倍。换言之，升级后的Solana网络吞吐量会是以太坊2.0的近千倍，Aptos、& ^( C4 ^2 j! }8 F5 z6 X. m& l! d
Sui等Move语言新公链的12.5倍。6 K; b' L# u, B$ A$ K: P# a6 N
自从FTX于去年11月垮台后，虽然Solana受到的打击尤深，遭遇严重的流动性紧缩，一度导致币价萎靡不振，所
& w* T1 O* [5 I$ d" `' |. w: v7 T幸开发人员仍持续建设，才得以支撑Solana链上活跃度不断增长。
( D+ H1 [& E8 N9 CSolana近期动作频频，先是推出智慧型手机，再来是SolanaPay取得Shopify合作关系，上个月又成为VISA试验
I7 [" A$ X$ @) j7 i5 l项目的合作伙伴，使用SOL测试跨境支付结算，看得出该公司持续推展Solana应用的野心。; K3 z& ]' }: G% K; q
6 K* \$ u/ z/ o" }* {* r% U( M
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