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[虚拟币交流]
贺锦丽与特朗普辩论未提及加密货币 辩论后贺锦丽Polymarket上的选举赔率上升(转)
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美国副总统贺锦丽在周二晚与前总统唐纳德·特朗普的辩论后,她在即将到来的美国总统选举中的胜算在Polymarket上飙升。
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截至目前,贺锦丽和特朗普在Polymarket的8.6亿美元预测市场中已打成平手,两人各自持有49%的胜率概率。
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周二的辩论是贺锦丽和特朗普在11月选举前的首次也是可能是最后一次辩论,涉及了加沙战争和堕胎权等关键的国家问题。
; H% i) `* I) [" e) }# I. K, u) h 加密货币话题缺席辩论值得注意的是,尽管对加密货币潜在监管的关注日益增加,但这一话题并未出现在辩论中。 * C1 f- [& ~* i" N; V0 W; M2 \8 M
尽管如此,Polymarket上的下注者还是给予了贺锦丽显著的优势,94%的人认为她赢得了辩论,尽管官方民调尚未公布。 & @2 v; e! z1 P" t# e7 i
% \3 Y8 R( Y' M/ x1 f9 O3 k在辩论前的24小时内,贺锦丽在Polymarket上的胜率从46%上升至49%,而特朗普的胜率则从52%下降至49%。
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特朗普一直公开支持加密货币行业,而贺锦丽虽然与该行业有过接触,但尚未对该问题采取明确立场。 9 f2 {3 U' ]8 u. }1 Q4 w
比特币的价格在辩论过程中出现了轻微波动。
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在活动开始前的数小时内,比特币短暂升至58,000美元以上,但随着辩论的进行,价格回落至约56,700美元。
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目前,比特币已稳定在56,797美元。 ' w* F0 d' T5 b8 s* f8 u7 I
加密市场做市商Keyrock的亚太区业务发展负责人贾斯汀·德·阿内坦(Justin d’Anethan)观察到,加密市场对辩论并没有做出显著反应。 9 k+ Q/ H+ h/ v: z/ K2 R% v% x
他指出,比特币表现得像一个典型的风险资产,其走势与科技股和其他股票保持一致。
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德·阿内坦补充说,比特币正在等待一个更为具体的催化因素,例如美联储政策的转变或重大的ZZ发展,来推动价格出现实质性变动。
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与此同时,特朗普和贺锦丽相关的PolitiFi代币在辩论期间出现了即时反应。
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根据CoinGecko的数据,市值为1380万美元的特朗普关联代币Super Trump (STRUMP)下跌了6.8%,而贺锦丽关联代币Kamala Horris (KAMA)下跌了5.7%。
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MAGA(TRUMP)也略微下跌了0.2%。 |
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