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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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博彩就是博人性,其根原就在基本面。基本面是指每一场对赛两队球队所包含的一切综合实力的展现。分析基本面估算出该场球的实际综合实力与心理实力的差值.而这个实力也就是通常我们所指的实盘。结合庄家为该场球所开出的盘口作较对(初盘分析)再结合中期调整,(中盘分析)最后,临场分析。初盘与即时盘的结合体,就是解开一场球盘的关键所在。
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“盘无常盘,水无常形。”
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“博者无他,争先术耳,故专者能之。”4 G+ Z* x2 I: v9 a; t2 p$ }
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亚盘和欧赔结合分析法五步曲:* d" K: h9 |, x3 m R# N0 F% B7 A
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1、赛事分析(赛事基本面分析,强调寻找“造热噱头”)
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% z2 Q% p4 t- a/ E重点推荐关注领域亚盘让球0.5 0.75 1,欧赔1.45~1.99区 一三三(冷0) 一三四(冷0)一三五(冷1)一三六(冷1)一四六(冷1)等赔率组合区。# T8 ?6 t9 @: y) ?) _; v- L
) R1 x% f0 C0 N. U: x. |, ]由于亚盘半球盘,半一盘,一球盘是风险区(赢球还可能输盘),在这个区间,亚盘更具有指导意义,而赔率只作为辅助研究;
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2、主流博彩公司初盘分析。
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重点研究盈禾(和SB相同),澳门、日博、立博、威廉,包括亚盘和赔率对比研究(欧亚转换)。英国赛事加上CORAL,德国赛事加上ODDSET,意大利赛事加上SNAI,西班牙赛事加上BWIN,亚洲赛事加上香港马会HKJC Football(天朝香港)) r1 g4 Z, Z1 s1 y( z8 i# r: N; x
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3、主流博彩公司临场分析(赛前一个小时或半小时前)。7 t2 I+ g8 P% f5 _
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各家博彩公司意见是否统一,同家博彩公司欧亚转换是否统一,寻找差异。1 h4 K1 t; d2 H: Q7 ^8 W" l
, ?1 O3 v- \" s5 E7 o; C8 y( e- Q4、结合基本面综合分析,得出方向。
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A盘口开大,不变盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 B盘口开大,临场降盘,下盘大热,庄家看好上盘,诱下盘。 C盘口开大,早中期降盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 D盘口开大,不变盘,降水至低水,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 E盘口开大,临场升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 F盘口开大,早中期升盘,上盘大热,市场预期看好上盘,庄家诱上盘。 G盘口开小,不变盘,上盘大热。 H盘口开小,早中期升盘,调整盘口后,盘口合适(转盘口合适)。 I盘口开小,不变盘。 G盘口开小,临场升盘。 K盘口合适,不变盘,哪方受热哪方有难。 L盘口合适,临场降盘,减小上盘打出赔付,赢球赢盘。 M盘口合适,升盘热上盘。 N盘口合适,早期降盘,调整后,初盘开大(转盘口开大)。 O盘口合适,早期升盘,调整后,初盘开小(转盘口开小)
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& R# ]2 q+ [& E$ v# G U- T5、时机的选择
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$ v8 z4 d, A% y/ a* Z盘口开大【如赔率支持半球盘,亚盘却开出半一盘】(如半一中高水波动盘),临场降半球低水盘(赛前半小时内,越临近,上盘进球越快),果断界入上盘;[庄家心态:降低上盘打出赔付]
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初盘中规中矩(半球盘或半一盘),要出上盘,升要早升,赛前才升,那是热升盘,往往是诱上盘;【庄家心态:早升是庄家对自己盘口的正常调整,晚升往往是在诱盘】% {" t+ l, {& D1 V2 n
' E& R; g3 p- P3 K* m. y$ ~0 {盘口开大(如半一中高水波动盘),临场维持中高水,上盘大胜可期;【庄家心态:有某个原因(这个很重要,如杯赛首回合强队主场被逼平;下盘球队近期状态大勇;下盘球队排名更靠前等等)不支持主队,庄家也顺应民心,实则是看好之举】* {7 }% r7 [1 X- _) c
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盘口开大,早降盘,只要临场上盘不热,庄家看好上盘,强队赢球反弹。9 ?# ~! T9 D, h# s8 X" T. H4 o; z
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下盘一定在赛前下注(下一球下盘,比下半一下盘更明智),走地盘只关注上盘机会(重点在于把握时机,滚球盘的升盘是带有很强信号的(红卡因素除外)。);6 `7 S6 D& d5 x9 R
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高开低走,易出冷平,低开高走易出冷零;9 j5 d% Y f' H. c( e9 i9 n
9 [- W0 N L# w9 ]. U: p滚球,重点关注SB和盈禾,并结合澳门;滚球适宜在开赛60分钟之前界入,75 85分钟之后,尽量少赶;+ M3 O( Q, u+ Z4 q
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滚球中,SB和盈禾通常采用高水赶盘,大多数公司均半球满水盘,它却敢于半一134超高水,甚至更高;半一坚挺时间越久,对主队越有利,如坚挺过了中场休息,并且下半场开球还敢半一盘,上盘基本有球;半一坚挺30分钟以上,主队胜面较大,特别是澳门也同时坚挺,胜算更大;
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SB和盈禾有时采用低水阻盘,大多数公司均半球中低水,SB和盈禾开出平半超低水,往往上盘大比分胜出 |
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