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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767120437 人生如赌
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋5.31 加息放缓 展望六月长线有机可乘 短线回踩做多为主 不追涨 不实时空
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
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行情重回多根日级均线之上、
8 l; a' x: M. ^0 d. S相信有很多都猝不及防！
7 Z% }* _: A' x5 [5 C4 G事实上、如果不是Luna崩盘事件、
: A1 `5 ^3 h) L9 e结合近期以太传闻六月合并、质押币大肆流通。担心出现挤兑崩盘！
& I# V5 Q6 f! g# j行情其实早就结合美股一同连涨！ 1 d' w3 g: l0 Y* |7 f
从消息局势来看、 $ k! q; n9 n: p& Z
年初经历了YQ、WE、三月的25基点加息、5月的50基点加息。6月的加息缩表落地、
) m7 r$ f8 F/ ?" O3 E+ `/ [基本上最大的几个利空、市场相继都承受了。 & W; y% ~8 L$ K0 _& u6 P( v4 j) o
现在就看、6月缩表实施后、美股是有过疲软， # Z0 M$ F- k7 G% f4 E
还是利空提前兑现、直接攀升。
% B! o% T+ j. m; x, _# p再从价格来看、 # i4 I p2 W4 Q3 ?6 l/ Z
低于5.19牛市夭折的两年超级低点26700、 / f4 J6 F$ e: P, a8 A, k' _
近期长达半月的弱势横盘、都不再深探、
5 Y6 J: Y! t0 [! T( h除了市场跌无可跌外、也说明在低于上届牛市低点、和大多数机构成本外。
" e- k1 F3 V( H* p这个点位肯定是不值得割肉、但肯定是值得投机的。 % ~$ N1 Q$ u8 ?
个人也说过、 ; \5 }' Q& J. i# ^' s3 t
美联储、26号的纪要补充、起到了很好的效果。
# q. _/ `0 J$ I) \2 V灵活控制膨胀，9月或将停止缩表降低加息、
& v- }' O. t: r, j; A这极大程度上会减缓由大力度加息带来的延伸性恐慌。 . ~, s5 P$ ?3 X3 N# q& [0 r0 m2 h
多头情绪是会有所好转的。
% W+ {; C- H, k/ f8 C% ~8 U且6月间，靴子落地后、不再公布大于50基点+缩表这类型的超大利空。 ' N4 q5 L2 _6 G6 G" W4 y& ^& \
市场是有望迎来一轮大行情。 % d% G" n; j y! b, A7 P$ D o( i8 T
尽管很难与20-21年大牛媲美、但也是连续的右侧行情。 : s% S4 ~0 \* s; q+ [
但是行情的好转、不建议短线追涨、
- e1 L2 c2 @; e. L' D美股周二开盘、周三缩表正式开启。 : R6 }0 U; |- ^0 q; X3 V' O
6.14-6.15是议息时间。 $ x6 C/ Y: i. l) X
关注这几个时间点、 # W$ [5 S( n0 B7 t, z
扼要、 3 f0 Y4 w3 O6 F* v' _! E
加息放缓、美股连涨，但六月50基点和缩表仍是实质利空。
/ L, m! u. V: W7 L7 ]短期小涨、仍是弱势、短线切勿追多。|
0 B1 Z; Q# X2 E, H# g9 `2 g但更不可开空、因无法预估此时的抄底博弈上限峰值在哪里。 ; [: Z n; }, }, V9 E
但是可跟随小趋势、回踩做多。 7 l! ~4 u5 v P* F; ~6 B
长线现货可在5.12低点附近埋伏做多、
# F5 c- X* C. W. g3 h6 {# ?! T& J未进的、29000附近以太同步进场。 % a' A# I: d' B) G! V8 X( z: y
夜间、依旧不做短线高空。回踩做多为主。
7 l0 L* _* _4 e- \/ d% ?最新点位、 " V( N5 _5 z2 @7 y6 d
大饼回踩30200接多
& P7 n9 A0 b" z6 @补仓29900 ; D" _- s$ G) P3 `; v8 S
防守29700 3 O' G* p" ?) o! w, K7 A
目标尝试看30800-31200
- e2 ~& i3 t, ^2 W以太回踩1880激进接多 , ?1 I9 }3 i+ ]- [% D
补仓1855 防守1830 2 ]% S/ s) x# Y3 r; P) y
目标看齐1940-1960 . H" n* { O9 @( c9 e* j: f
（行情好转、以太有补涨需求。与大饼涨幅相差5%）
) B* s6 P+ n9 u1 O/ n3 H) _点位仅限使用一次、时效至早间8点。
" }6 @ V$ `+ T有突发情况会做补充、仓位严控0.5成、扫损也在1.5成。
2 @. G g# z3 u4 x" R# r1 Q仓位配置是重中之重。 " n% r( @# a( C) T& C& X+ L
来源：金色财经 |
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