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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。% ?# D" Q% y% s
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
4 J2 F8 Q8 `& R0 _7 Q" ^7 a& E6 @尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？4 V) J- E/ @( R' K( D/ x# y0 V: j
V. A9 J. [; `" f4 C+ k$ f' `
随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。2 h) p: J: u# X4 t7 D' B) W
8 B3 o7 |% ^" K牛un云蒙上阴影
7 A: i3 F( N: Y# o2 D+ z; f最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。$ O' O# x# c3 E: @7 w0 X, j4 H
, j. I2 h0 v* C; z1 x% K: E即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
# F. k. O* `4 O, ?: W' ^% g; Y% F# A0 t, B) H
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。* [- y' j5 r, |! y; J& T
9 q* P& o3 L3 S7 E3 d尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。6 [% R2 I) J$ ]& a8 h0 r4 j
7 n3 c, I9 n2 z! v& ]6 R$ H
BTC背后的机构引擎* H* ?9 _' E2 h. w
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
5 Y' Y4 E2 { y0 s
) h8 A4 J8 X( R6 P5 u7 l, v这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。4 b& {( r8 J# I' W2 t. U {
( m' H, k7 K8 O" ^% ?- b与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。, k: p7 P$ C6 A y- h% Z0 J
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怎么了？
; o- Q0 b* m) a尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
. Z$ C9 J5 ]) u, L1 B4 m. c% [ s8 S' c" [8 F {, ^
2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。8 i1 l# i5 q; R" Z! ^8 j3 v
& p/ D/ s: G8 C: v8 P, ~% {/ s% d( \; u风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。7 y( f5 K0 w- x7 N9 V$ x% w. ?( N
; ?$ s2 q$ k* U7 `# x2 ]
尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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