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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份" ]/ U) W- u, J- s1 i/ x+ o
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。" f) Z; Z) w; Z0 n- t$ |: a$ y
美元抛售推高比特币: i4 b# M# @- S, P; m
. y0 _% A/ Q) H }/ k f- KGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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* ^4 J) M& \' {7 p来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指2 G6 j( L' O+ U T, Z
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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) ~. S. p$ {; ]: B% R9 zAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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. }, m5 j! S% t# ?- |7 [高黄金和比特币的价格。
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% W7 R% T- u, D+ {下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。! B- b3 K$ b7 T7 w2 z- p
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
# s5 h7 N; a }! a/ H+ f; J! J8 S6 E8 y' ~* h% e: i+ |
这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。6 j4 o+ h" x3 [7 g
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，8 u+ s6 u+ k2 a! w' }+ ], J; S1 B
8 o0 U4 T5 S) d# C# j“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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5 [/ S* E7 s( w3 ]# l9 h/ x分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。3 j' V) s, f0 O6 g% a
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”6 W4 E. g- U* U
0 `" C9 N7 ?1 c5 gCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交0 o) g1 |& i+ Y3 U' _5 k. a
/ ~. b+ W; a0 y易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。, c& R! A/ ^; o! ~- c3 M
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