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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
# ^ y8 Q$ r. N U至少有以下几个原因：- ^- B9 k8 Q5 @2 b4 P
6 o5 N& Q8 D6 j* t8 W- p* E- e1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。! \! W" c; h% o* j# ^2 \& H
- q- W4 L( ^1 Y7 ~$ S2 T在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化( p/ ~! N6 R/ F4 t0 c* I( s
4 J+ E% Y0 d+ J+ y& M机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案& R& g1 X1 V4 |3 f4 J, p: j; n
7 n0 E3 d6 s7 ]2 ~4 l6 N; X+ r
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
4 G3 `8 L' q, }1 Z& J& [' K/ P) o/ m& n1 k) e8 K" G z
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
- l" Y5 F, W% g' P0 `' P5 W! w9 ]' H) W G" D$ K7 D4 k
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
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# v3 t. h4 Q& @7 G6 S+ B5 x" ?达到200亿美金）
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- @, ?( E3 ]$ _2 Q3 w& J" w2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊/ R1 T5 z6 D0 S$ l ^
! I7 R: q7 X' X9 C2 y: Q. y更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化4 {% v' u {1 w/ X: `& E. V/ J# U
: w V. P; ~) f' f4 m6 S
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
$ z4 F6 M$ ^5 x, q! H
, F4 t9 @# [$ p5 n. C, x3 P; C3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
: h8 p. m$ X* m/ U7 q7 H" {
' a/ ^0 Q7 d) u8 @% [资金的信任和青睐。$ p, R: |8 e' X& F
5 p% Y# W+ f' p
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
8 r' a: n" t/ F2 n9 Y. P( D* ^1 I6 r
; Y2 ]0 A( ?; w% w0 W% v! e. Y金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
E1 F# e- x! v$ \2 P* @9 b3 i% } m; u8 g5 [& f
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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