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[lastpost] => 2690167 美国大选结束后，加密衍生品市场情绪转为看涨：报告（转） 1731164586 rainwang
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在市场普遍预期美联储将在本周晚些时候降息之际，比特币周一下跌。
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这一最大的数字资产周一一度下跌2.8%，之后收复了部分跌幅，纽约时间早上08：00报58，655美元。包括排名第二的以太币和meme人群最爱的狗狗币在内的其他代币也走低。
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$ G5 C+ K" s( T! q 美国四年多来首次降息将预示着金融环境更加宽松，对加密货币等高风险资产来说通常是利好。但投资者不确定周三美联储降息的幅度，也不确定市场对美联储官员最新预测——所谓的点阵图和
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美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔最新记者会讲话会作何反应。
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“降息的重要性不如鲍威尔记者会和最新点阵图发出的信号，” 流动性提供商Arbelos Markets的交易主管Sean McNulty表示。“如果指引和新闻发布会明显偏鸽派，我们预计比特币会跑赢。”: L6 H+ ^$ k5 q6 H. B* T* L2 M
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比特币在截至周日的7天里上涨了10%，创下7月以来的最大单周涨幅，这可能反映了对美联储降息50个基点的押注升温。市场目前预计美联储官员在即将举行的政策会议上至少会降息25个基点。6 z5 {0 `: F9 }# s7 i
9 p. a$ F: `# n( K上周华尔街关于大码降息的预期，出现了大起大落。当八月CPI数据显示美国通胀反弹后，市场上关于九月减息50点的说法几乎销声匿迹了。但是华尔街日报在星期四报道FOMC成员有考虑过大码- }0 E3 i* R H# c& v
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减息这个选项，前纽约联储主席杜德利同日在新加坡更说“有强烈的理由”减息50点。市场情绪一夜翻盘，期货市场利率掉期定价40%的概率联储这次会减息50点。5 K' s4 s' w4 I+ O- s P" b. m
- C3 f9 C% B& ^; i% o这给货币政策制定者出了一个难题。除了稳定物价和最大化就业外，联储心照不宣地将维护金融市场稳定作为决策的第三个指标。如果减息力度不够，市场认为联储落后于形势，经济即将陷入衰退，
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7 R+ y, j( y. z' T- \则股市可能大跌。如果联储减息50点，另一批人则可能浮想联翩，是不是当局知道自己不知道的事情，债市可能因此大幅波动。3 ^( S9 b, G& a# H
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