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[虚拟币交流]
迈克·诺沃格拉茨：比特币和山寨币100倍加密货币回报的时代已经结束（转）
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Galaxy Digital首席执行官迈克·诺沃格拉茨声明他认为，加密货币异常高回报的时代可能即将结束。他指出，寻求快速获利的散户投资者正逐渐被更为保守的机构投资者所取代，这标志着加密货币市场正在走向成熟。
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: R" N2 `3 t5 o, c诺沃格拉茨周二在纽约举行的CNBC数字金融论坛上发表讲话，解释说这种转变反映了行业的演变。“散户投资者购买加密货币并非为了获得每年11%的收益，”他说。“他们进入市场是因为他们寻求的是丰厚的回报：30倍、8倍甚至10倍的投资回报。”3 ^' @; w1 z: F( x/ m
. ~2 x, @7 W; ]; [3 ]: [: f" [; LFTX崩盘和10月份清算事件的后续影响
! |% \. S' z, U( X2 l+ x. @ K1 u/ @诺沃格拉茨回忆起FTX在2022年崩溃这引发了一场严重的熊市。比特币价格暴跌78%，从69000美元跌至15700美元。这导致了他所说的市场“信任危机”。6 ~8 q5 j r% I5 N+ v. D4 ]
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他还特别提到了10月10日的清算事件，该事件导致许多散户和做市商破产，尽管没有重大催化剂，抛售压力依然加剧。“这次没有确凿的证据，”诺沃格拉茨说，“你环顾四周，会想，‘到底发生了什么？’”
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代币化资产与从投机转向投资
* O4 x, H8 S# T5 b9 E* b7 r展望未来，诺沃格拉茨预测加密货币的应用将从高收益投机转向更实际的用途，例如将现实世界资产代币化，从而提供更稳定的回报。虽然一些交易者仍会继续投机，但他预计加密货币基础设施将日益支持全球银行业和金融服务业。. e6 B) M7 ?. o6 T- |2 s1 g
2 j7 K2 A6 a' DChainlink联合创始人谢尔盖·纳扎罗夫有人表达了类似的观点，称代币化的现实世界资产“总价值将超过加密货币，从根本上改变整个行业”。
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比特币持有者变更
0 g: }5 }6 {8 @% o4 x; f1 ^Lightspark联合创始人兼首席执行官、前PayPal高管大卫·马库斯(David Marcus)观察到比特币持有者的变化。他表示：“这仅仅是比特币持有者群体发生了变化，从长期直接持有者转向了更广泛的、融入我们金融体系和市场的用户。”
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( _ m1 Q: W {" S6 A: I马库斯补充说，10月份的清算和持有者构成的变化改变了市场动态。然而，那些仍然将比特币视为对冲整体市场不确定性工具的人预计仍将保持韧性。' g6 _, n X4 F
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市场模式和制度影响
1 Y/ V9 [4 q' }* X. F" d5 A, }历史上，关于“投机时代终结”的预测屡见不鲜，让人想起互联网泡沫破裂和2008年金融危机期间的种种警告。然而，制度化反而可能增强加密货币与传统资产的相关性，从而挑战其作为替代金融体系的地位。历史也表明，市场稳定期往往先于创新浪潮，这暗示着下一个加密货币催化剂可能并非来自现有的代币化资产，而是来自新的金融产品。- N Y7 u1 q% o* J0 E
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当年FTX暴雷后也被割怕了，现在玩币更像温水煮青蛙， |
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目前多少套在其中的人，就是那些被煮的青蛙 |
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确实，现在市场越来越成熟，想找100倍币的时代估计真没了，得调整下预期了 |
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现在确实感觉市场越来越稳了，想靠山寨币一夜暴富越来越难了 |
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