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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 5 ^! }* k" O- \/ P) M; J4 b
9 G$ C. [5 {8 @. c) m0 }2 d其实原文标题不是这样的% {4 W, U9 u: A
8 @4 Y8 U( J1 H! O
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
2 W+ S% ~5 T! P7 i# g7 e他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
* E4 m- `- V! X7 g! B8 |+ u: S2 P( F, {6 ~* m
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
/ P6 o. Q( ^: ]9 X% X4 B- Y+ P; D8 k3 q2 P) [+ f8 r9 i3 ]
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」; G& b7 ~; O8 w/ u
1 H/ y& }0 a( \2 l% q0 h
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 6 ?' s- }. R6 f- j+ U+ t& A5 G7 T
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
1 T1 v' @: e/ f( q! g" P
* u* O; C; B" [$ l$ r 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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5 F8 Z6 W; s) o& |接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
& l" Q# k1 t) j/ q因此铜板较容易出现正面。
( c: h+ j% k3 W1 e长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 3 W8 z$ H% H P
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。' o% H0 A% \ T
心想赢定了。1 a3 L; G. z7 D* ~; v
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
9 X2 {& x, ~$ Z( f p3 g赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
* C( k, w0 A( a% d% I$ j9 B x, ?& d6 e2 v% M
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，0 `/ o; u9 y8 j/ L7 y
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
0 t+ u1 r) R: p3 b! N . I; C3 \* t; |9 m
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?/ F9 I+ r8 R4 L4 j! s
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 , C _( K) P" ]- m9 g: H) q
上帝回答道：4 `% r2 p* W+ [, r2 w& f5 p5 h9 c
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
1 h. X/ C- ^# O% P; s「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」 W9 G5 y" W+ X) E+ M7 i& P8 c4 j
「而不是先发生在我身上。」: T/ y$ @1 j1 z, e! y" D5 k) [; P
" [& a- s. R+ |* h
赌徒恍然大悟，& `6 l3 G8 v$ v* {8 N; K: @5 a
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
0 J) x# }3 j l1 S) O S" g竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
6 M2 r' J" i. q7 W( ]「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, h$ S, Y* F; z7 v6 e F5 s. r
上帝说完便不见踪影。 , x4 [4 ?* t' c/ a, w' [' O5 K7 m
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
/ P& `6 \* S( `3 z, m若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次， Y5 [$ Z: N# r& r
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，( Z* A$ d. r+ K+ J+ j+ J4 O1 W
对赌徒十分有利。7 D0 b# I, r+ |8 Q3 z1 ?! k
! ~1 m3 [' Z; @- n& A0 ~/ c- m
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
4 R5 Z1 h" x9 N' E2 `* ?5 t; b在还没掷到1000次之前，; B7 F( _/ u1 R! i+ M
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
8 m& w. m5 E- @7 a% `% X4 V
1 e n/ Z5 d3 i/ ~7 d# W 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。$ p- E7 @, y; Q/ _! p$ G. s8 t
+ p, X* m$ ^6 D# b" j 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。& u: ~) z6 r; O6 \
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
3 w. t4 l% s; U$ m0 n) Q9 \: {+ W- d
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 4 U: A7 i$ G- y
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