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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。* `, Z6 D& p# u) z0 Y
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
7 ^8 l2 N: }5 T# e& p) I7 Q4 s7 T0 ^- v( K5 O" a5 z8 L
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
4 K5 f) ^: \9 R& N
" Y. K( k+ X. C' O. }$ V1 r# t2 f7 g3 Y+ ?8 v4 c
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。: z1 ~9 W- q% A3 d, J1 {
4 Q! m9 z/ P0 d9 K- ?
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，& o, r# B I8 f4 [' s
$ |1 h1 U, W+ F$ B
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统 {% X! S9 b; V1 [4 K2 z- R& y3 n
) T% E7 N. O$ }& n9 b/ q: \2 ~资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。( e7 P8 G8 }' [8 J
- \+ z2 D u8 C) V! w: W9 V; U从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等5 ~& ^" L( H8 w, g5 k" F
0 H, X0 v3 _- _) `
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加& E0 i1 n/ G4 P; B( s0 D) K
9 n- m e$ g- f% D
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交1 W1 D3 y. D. `* j5 t f
5 T& d4 @1 @5 a
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。* U0 Z2 f" t$ O" t8 r: k$ ?' F
8 |, k; R% R) W; T3 y+ m天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
! P4 w/ N* n! P6 z8 ^; T& M- I5 l
3 p9 I8 ~( a+ G! j$ W. ?7 b; hETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围4 e E# G) ~! G8 b/ r
- m4 J: {& G" w. l I绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构7 {' X7 B! p5 [, c' [4 I4 m
2 R8 y- y8 \* K7 }+ Y
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
- W9 n; u' T6 Y& A
' @/ ^3 r) i: ^$ o) B1 ?# M在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat 3 B7 U( Y- C5 A) e) Z
6 |0 g. M) Z7 C- r. k. WGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，, \; p# h5 M9 A S7 ]6 ^/ t6 l
8 z% v8 Y+ Q! z比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元+ h n& C' y0 s8 f
' _7 `5 ]& a8 S8 y& ~的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。! m! B4 I j4 x
$ K4 R4 n% h7 i! d/ B- x. g
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身9 [, d9 Y L& b+ \3 Y
* a& N) \2 [6 G- ~4 ?9 Z并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和# ]+ i& Q9 }- R5 S
3 a# u3 K% {/ O) W3 s科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
8 E- D6 R1 U5 o5 j5 F9 J3 W' T r: z9 m- A; O% \
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