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澳门去年博彩收入料再破千亿 但经济衰退难避免
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[font=Verdana][font=Verdana] [/font]金融海啸下，澳门博彩收入回升。外电引述，12月博彩收入为76.6亿(9.58亿美元)，比11月上升3%，但无法追及2007年同期水平，下跌7%。据此，2008年博彩收入突破千亿大关，冲上1086亿历史新高。 [/font]
% L. f$ i5 C$ W) W[font=Verdana] 尽管第四季博彩收入下滑，但仍保持了240亿元的水平。分析认为，按第四季每月平均80亿元博彩收入推算，2009年上半年月赌收徘徊70亿元，下半年金融海啸冲击淡化，可望回升至75亿到80亿水平。[/font]0 l% p, x8 p- c% w6 U& F) \
[font=Verdana] 2008年上半年，澳门每月博彩收入介乎93亿至103亿，踏入下半年，收紧自由行、金融海啸冲击下，博彩收入反复下滑至9月的全年低点70亿元，市场预期赌收会不断萎缩。[/font]
3 d% K; L) i( p7 Q3 V+ \[font=Verdana] 据外电引述，澳门12月博彩收入76.6亿澳门元(9.58亿美元)。官方公布1至10月博彩收入累计935亿元，连同11、12月全年博彩收入达1086亿元，较2007年有30.8%的升幅。[/font]8 a8 V; C" K; |& b6 l8 b2 ^
[font=Verdana] 分析指，自调控博彩业以来，去年9月博彩收入录得70亿元的低点后，第四季录得240亿元，平均每月80亿元，相信已反映了调控博彩业的结果。但金融海啸冲击还未浮现，预计2009年新春，博彩收入会达到80多亿元。上半年每月徘徊在70亿元，下半年有望回升，因金融海啸影响淡化，博彩收入或会达到75至80亿元水平。[/font]
0 b" B% w3 n( x( x9 v A[font=Verdana] 按此推算，尽管2009年博彩收入仍会录得负增长，但平均每月可达80亿，将令经济增长下滑的速度放缓，料可维持单位数负增长，未到双位数的惊人跌幅。不过，2008年第四季负双位数增长几成定局，故2009首季即使维持单位数负增长，从技术角度判断(连续两季负增长)，澳门经济宣告衰退。[/font] |
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