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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 9 M5 M$ h8 C' ~9 D: d2 r
" g! ?2 i( U( k) G- V2 C- B其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!) B1 e9 w6 H) l! p) ^4 C
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...$ E, P- s- N4 u3 E
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。+ B9 K u8 K% G6 ]
7 w8 f% w/ r. D 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。9 U" b' e7 J4 u
- h( b; K. S$ A! j c, Z 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」; \0 p5 g; d5 {+ o! K
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ; L: d" K D& R" f3 T( p' i
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
6 q9 R* f$ X6 U E; N, r3 U
9 x5 D, T! x ~% b; S( n: L& O 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。' c0 N1 ^! c/ N+ m! ?8 x3 v
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，6 v' [8 u" w) {4 q' M; W
因此铜板较容易出现正面。) w/ \# A7 d5 ?
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 4 M! i, o) W* {- _6 @- P, \
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
) C( O6 ~8 `: N) H# y7 g心想赢定了。
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9 @: L( @" _% Z# ]8 |没想到开始不到半刻钟，
8 c5 T& v8 ~6 s9 E# n8 ?赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」( o3 n, Z2 _* e% U. T
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，8 G$ ^1 `6 u1 G8 R# c- k* g8 m( U
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。* @$ d+ {3 |, s. s
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
# q* c' c. `2 _( q他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：! d3 D! U" I% g. I9 U8 z% O" u
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
$ e& g' y& k" I/ U, S. \2 y「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
9 P! L$ ?* L2 Z+ Y. \' K「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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赌徒恍然大悟，9 [; V3 L" m1 V8 ~& F9 l- [
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
7 M1 Z' Z q. k; V竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
& n9 j. `: P Z7 l1 C4 |# z+ ~! l「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」, r5 N; n' h H
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，2 S% R3 {% b2 ]- r( x. [8 I/ T
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
* x& m. Q: U. \- r2 s8 I1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
+ n6 U% H# J6 w# o对赌徒十分有利。! D3 {$ N* V* E ?
6 v, i0 V" V8 Q1 Y5 O4 @1 j3 m, L; s0 }但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
% M, m" \: q1 w3 U1 z1 v# ?" D% W) x在还没掷到1000次之前，
. s$ i: r* \; v5 G仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
. {2 ^' U' Z/ f9 ]1 H) `, b
' l3 h, \* e" I" N) l" E 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。3 B2 M0 ~6 H9 e( E' y" H' }6 q; J! |
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。, R/ @4 H$ I! w: n- a
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，; Q; q1 S% H) r5 |0 f B0 I
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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