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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767120437 人生如赌
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】： $ E0 B# S+ a& R9 l
1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】； 4 F8 D1 D# H6 H9 M1 e
2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场； n7 C t5 J9 X# D2 W
3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大； 0 y/ F$ v$ W9 q$ S) M* C0 R3 [
4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点； + F0 t q! [3 J& E2 P
5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势； % s0 P' j- @+ i' A" P
6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅； . P. |+ F6 ^" t% m3 O+ o
7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。 2 T" w& l0 Q# Q5 L: Z, y" r
一周链上数据明示：
* b V, ~' A7 Z# W下图为一周内涨跌幅： 3 O" f; i* W0 `& E3 y8 R" A
. l. E7 T6 R0 \5 o+ F1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】 # w* O- p# b0 t0 R2 q& U
2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】；
* I3 K. b+ U7 p下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图：
9 u% w/ S! S( _/ J7 s6 I' ]7 q5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。
: G5 s7 f1 m9 E) _. y
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下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图： : c4 s0 U5 O- O2 n
下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。
n7 P# ^! P. Q% s2 {. z下图为ETH/BTC交易视图：
# Q* e. _5 L' ]* U4 q. P自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】
. _. i! {+ o! L0 A9 F( L
/ g: _# N* V9 [5 p链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。
/ @9 k" I) h! Q+ W大盘行情简览：
9 g8 m+ [% \$ Y8 m; t, r: f0 Z L+ R目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。 7 n# q) \8 @) |0 O( x
% d: l7 p+ K2 X( d9 ?4 V# Q
周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】
9 E4 m! N3 C. P祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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