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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。
$ E3 f$ S. o# [+ F$ b, v现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、
; b+ p" @* t: {) g1 ]; i也不是cpi暴雷问题!
; i1 M$ v! U4 O" v " `7 U6 Z- D6 r% ]7 @
而是当本月最大利空落地后,市场依旧一泻千里。
. w3 f3 a# k! j, x! a, L失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
9 E+ m0 e1 O, W/ `: N2 w* t" U三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持,最终近20亿未偿还债务。 " l; a+ @% @- O2 Z; E$ K1 z
市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题,
' T' [$ Z l5 g1 `2 Z市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 2 @* Z* q3 {9 [" K$ x$ o
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇! * k; {: f5 J. ]* @+ O* R+ i" ?& K
除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 0 l) z: @- k4 l0 q3 W; _: e1 R6 z6 T& ^
直白的说,
1 n r3 v' @7 l2 A' K( }市场借助这轮加息,重新洗牌。 # c0 a7 p. i. Y" a+ x! B1 g) L
下一轮牛市,周期会十分长。 3 A$ O, l% u3 n4 ~$ J0 N, ]
即使加息结束,69000高点,很难在下一轮牛市形成。
% p8 z& ]5 j0 A6 k. Q" q& G但切记,即使是这样,现货也不建议割肉。
# \+ N1 p3 H; R. E! f" A4 E1 ^7 B) I被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 " q# ^1 r7 z3 a
短线不追空,不抄底,反弹空。
m) w" c. ? D, Q/ c跟趋势走,跌透为止。
0 ^6 E2 ]/ N$ v! h1 g1 J# f8 X* B1 B( W老观点,周线实体阴线,未收下影。 h& ]8 M& \0 o9 L X; z) J
下周铁定惯性下行,收阳概率极低。
& O6 o( \$ z( F8 A( I环境不允!氛围不允。利空之下,更无资金接力可能。
3 v L2 w' e- i- k夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、
' O" m$ ^: N# o9 |; ]6 m x大饼反弹至18900高空
/ A/ I K; I$ J7 d0 }5 N S, |; G: _补仓19100 防守19300
( b. `0 _1 X- h8 {. T I目标18100-17950
3 s0 P" K/ B, x. S5 U: z3 M) ~6 ? H破位17650
$ i& y' l7 i4 o$ {4 |2 H! n/ J持续下看至17000
3 h: M6 d4 }' l, W以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 9 w" ~* |4 s, S, D
防守1030 4 T) i; `$ P1 g/ g( `
目标910-890
3 z* k y! G- b还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空,仍不晚。
* Z4 Y, h( B3 P. ]4 `" Y熊市不言底,市场估值出现问题,新一轮洗牌。 - A1 n8 h Q( d
还有尾声机会。
% _$ p6 E8 M& y1 f) R) r) f再晚一点,就只能做横盘箱体。
' ^1 C5 E* K' t5 f" ~来源:金色财经 |
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