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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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+ T2 s+ I; t' A% P/ t' C过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
f: A$ q- H5 N; j4 v. g链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当" t% m5 q+ d: x: E8 M# B
0 W, \' M! t! ?' j
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
5 ~% ^4 v$ ?6 m
: X- f. o7 C: E处于健康的看涨状态。
3 |+ U" Y7 J6 q0 N8 N' E/ i3 S
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
% s4 R# q( @7 J7 y, j9 N6 O: y5 |) y {$ x' Z5 L9 F# i [5 L: X
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF% ]$ y& b% v: b& u7 }0 D
$ E8 c+ S2 m. ~
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
7 i1 x$ v) d( f% G5 u: g1 l
' y) T" P9 R3 w& J+ ?AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，2 v; o" \1 V! e6 ?$ L
5 |! h) O( ]& j. S) I
Coinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提3 _. F1 Q2 Y* Y3 K2 _2 M5 j8 |7 y
( J1 a) j8 F! o" ?* q/ Q! [% S
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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& t8 i& x& f8 ~& n6 P其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较9 t+ m8 |2 @4 O; U$ x! w- X& B
" Y) o" L1 v* M$ v
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强; Y5 }# [' k/ i6 b: d' m
5 R6 O1 ?# i) @. }/ a) ]1 x$ S' r& h劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
& c, U, z, p; ]0 j! K8 Y5 p8 [6 E: ]8 Z- ^2 P8 ~
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
5 Z Q2 k" C+ e: r1 b: X- D" W v' Q1 D- z8 @4 l
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。- }/ @/ X/ n* z6 R J+ l
) v+ `# X T: Z: A# {虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币4 C# D5 P0 M& y8 f
. o8 `2 ?6 L* Z+ d( B* V* }" H
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不 V' Q5 N* l1 d! j
$ L O% a) B; g+ v/ f: `. H
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法5 B9 I! c6 u! A4 K' B& {
6 }, I7 O, g/ j- v3 R
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
# T1 z/ y* B' k5 P0 J+ q" |: ]8 t- L, {6 q& b
% ?5 ]3 t9 M$ m因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的$ \7 X; i B/ C' X
8 x. F; S4 A7 \# o
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
8 P& P5 l9 W% E
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