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天朝比特币交易量上升！加密货币禁令未扼杀市场 “场外交易”激增逾200%(转）
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 区块链数据平台Chainalysis周二(9月17日)发布的研究报告显示，尽管天朝监管机构对比特币和加密货币的市场活动控制严格，
; j( c. A4 L4 \- ~& h但投资者在经济放缓的情况下，寻找低迷股票替代品，天朝加密货币交易活动仍在上升，场外交易量较2021年同期增长超过200%。7 S) q8 J* @" K8 V7 s9 N1 V
日经亚洲(Nikkei Asia)引述该报告指出，2024年第二季，天朝的比特币和加密货币“场外交易”(OTC)市场交易量较2021年同期增长2倍多，达到237亿美元。1 V9 }; P3 T4 v; `9 ~
, u1 R# S8 g0 h所谓“场外交易”，就是加密货币买家和卖家通过通常隐蔽的网络直接联系。
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Chainalysis分析师解释说：“在天朝2021年关闭主流加密货币交易所的访问权限后，用户开始将目光转向其他地方，转向场外交易平台和点对点(P2P)交易网络。”
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多年来，天朝监管机构对加密货币一直采取严格限制措施。2017年，包括天朝人民银行(天朝央行)在内的有关部门，禁止私募代币发行(ICO)和交易比特币、加密
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货币的交易所。2021年，他们进一步打击挖矿、交易和相关服务，包括发布声明称“外国加密货币交易所向境内居民提供的服务也被视为非法金融活动”。0 g3 Y c% c) D* R% K* C
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相比之下，被视为离岸司法管辖区的香港采取了不同的方式，通过交易所等许可中介机构和基于加密货币的交易所交易基金(ETF)来监管此类交易。
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. ]2 b: q$ f9 Q& g! M* \尽管如此，Chainalysis数据显示，天朝内地的加密货币活动并未被扼杀。4 h$ E& z4 b7 G7 n# n& i* R
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& U/ {, L2 l" B8 VChainalysis网络犯罪研究主管埃里克·贾丁(Eric Jardine)表示，这些数据并不能完全反映天朝场外交易市场的规模，因为买家和卖家通常通过社交媒体群组上的渠道# Y& ]2 ?, ?% A/ T
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进行联系，而且交易经常通过嵌套在服务提供商中的网络进行，而这些服务提供商可能不了解流量的真实业务范围。
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据知情人士透露，即便在限制措施之下，内地用户仍可以进入全球交易所提供的场外市场。由于话题敏感，这些知情人士拒绝透露姓名。9 N$ ~' }4 d5 F1 D: Q! S+ u* J2 A
! Z8 v% x' ^( Z' {* S3 U* I5 ?其中一位知情人士表示，这些平台要求买家提供个人信息，并要求买家存款以保证交易完成。* T" C+ K" o/ a+ v3 \
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Chainalysis发现，从2023年1月到2024年6月期间来看，当天朝上证综合指数下跌时，场外市场的流入资金往往会增加。该指数在此期间下跌了4.78%。0 z$ v* R" M7 c. b9 g( }
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报告指出，天朝国有房地产开发商万科A股下跌时也出现了同样的现象，万科是陷入困境的天朝房地产行业的代表。万科报告称，2024年上半年净亏损98亿元人民币，$ ^% d2 k8 X. s3 Y
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约合14亿美元，核心销售额同比下降37.6%至1273亿元人民币。9 [+ h, n& u i6 e
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贾丁表示：“天朝内地宏观经济逆风似乎与这些场外资金流入有关”。4 Q6 C4 H0 s8 J; j
5 K b% F6 D$ M j- }1 C他补充称，这种联系在全球市场上很常见。
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# @% a5 S- b/ S报道提到，INSEAD驻新加坡的金融学副教授Ben Charoenwong表示，由于对国内经济的情绪依然消极，人们正在寻找将资金转移到天朝境外的途径。9 r7 _8 ?7 i c& }' N- j
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“如今，如果你想通过传统的非官方方式，比如使用骡子将资金转出天朝，费用可能高达25-30%。天朝场外加密货币的使用日益增多，表明人们正在寻找更快捷的资金
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6 i) I9 d0 Q! [# y- n转移方式，”Charoenwong表示。. a2 A6 O+ J; |' H9 s
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