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[lastpost] => 2798084 币安下周将下架四个加密货币交易对（转） 1768712959 whywhy
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。
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$ v) n. J+ u# D/ G/ m) dBTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7, w$ [7 y; C% q. x
4 q# X6 Y I. d W5 G-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日6 Y0 q& Z" I7 p; K* f+ y' @, k' F
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同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。
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* u9 h" T' s" r% `0 e低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？! {: X$ L0 l7 s2 C( \
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。1 M7 b% w6 ]0 v4 ?9 M" P
7 T5 m* k8 ^) f2 r: z7 M Q5 O结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。$ K( w5 c7 g1 |3 i7 Y3 J2 a& H
* }- k$ F: h8 Q6 Y2 D因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。, e# A" r7 O0 R2 u; E
5 h7 e" _) a3 x( h6 e; ~0 r" @取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。, D; T' r$ {. p
" g9 f% {) w2 Q/ c9 _) ]保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动2 J0 [2 P" p) Z' H1 L7 g6 c( R- t
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。
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2 V% I* g6 f" M" m: {2 I去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”1 G! b; a/ k H
4 d1 Z8 L8 V3 X) W7 y$ T S( U该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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