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[虚拟币交流]
顶级研究公司 K33 确定比特币的“战略购买区”（转）
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顶级研究公司 K33 Research 告诉其客户，当前的市场不稳定是一个重要的买入机会。在他们的新报告，该公司阐述了为什么季节性疲软和宏观不利因素的共同作用将比特币 (BTC) 推入 94,000 美元至 101,000 美元之间的“战略购买区”。
! U* r F' B* ]6 E% Z' E8 v( L4 A* _ o+ ^( w' \. d
“九月魔咒”：为何本月对比特币而言是历史性利空？$ q6 q: |% u* Z$ i/ j/ W. o1 w
K33 的论点基于加密货币领域中一个强大的历史趋势，即比特币的“九月诅咒”。
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BTC的历史数据
o) A+ S/ K7 H6 r8 g& T( y$ C该公司的报告强调，自 2011 年以来，9 月是仅有的比特币长期表现不佳的一个月，平均月回报率为-4.6%。这种持续的模式影响了市场预期，许多交易员预计比特币在此期间将出现疲软。
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2 a0 c+ k. w2 v8 G5 d7 X比特币当前的宏观阻力
( x5 Q5 ~) I( y: Z9 e' B# A今年，季节性下跌趋势因全球整体形势而加剧。经济指标显示经济放缓，美国关税政策的不确定性加剧了市场压力，降低了投资者对加密货币等风险资产的兴趣。这导致市场在以下两个方面出现了明显的分化：比特币横盘整理，部分山寨币价格飙升.6 X$ V) D; K% f4 c- P* O i/ {0 t
) V, u' P5 |0 v$ ~+ Z$ P比特币的“9.4万美元至10.1万美元”战略购买区
- k" Q: b8 T, @2 ?" X. S, N: |- B; m尽管短期前景充满挑战，但 K33 Research 认为，这种弱点正在为长期投资者创造理想的切入点。. s7 O& N# L5 \
5 X/ {7 O7 C4 G9 _$ d$ ?K33 的关键价格目标为积累 BTC5 R& R9 Y( E: B# P: j* }% h: B
该公司的分析指出，如果比特币回落至9.4万美元至10.1万美元区间，将是一个关键的买入机会。他们认为，对于寻求增持的长期多头而言，这一区域代表着理想的风险回报情景。
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为什么这被视为一个机会？
# w) [& {* R d. ]- H8 K0 S( ZK33 的前景反映了当前的不稳定这并不是恐慌的理由，而是一个“逢低买入”的机会。
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价格回调至预期范围将与比特币 9 月份的历史走势一致，同时为投资者提供以大幅折扣买入的机会，这一策略已被证明是成功的，近期下跌期间投资者购买了超过 120,000 个 BTC。8 l0 R% C) P# t6 s
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