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彩票业内专家程阳：选号“剑走偏锋”大有人在
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纵观国内彩市，这类偏态号码造就大奖的情况非常常见，排列5玩法2011年1月21日开奖号码57873，与前一日1月20日的完全相同，返奖居然是上期的5.5倍；7星彩第10137期曾开出号码7777077，山东和河南的两位彩民成功击中头奖500万。超级大乐透第11110期，当期开奖号码为：前区30、31、33、34、35，后区04、07。可以看出号码非常罕见，然而出奖情况更加罕见，一等奖中出65注,该期共派奖1.44亿。
7 v0 ^1 [8 K& o T* q1 b 彩票业内资深专家程阳将这类“不合常理”的偏态号码称作“愚人号码”。按照他的说法，“愚人号码”其实是“懒人号码”，不是说号码本身有多“愚”，而是选这类号码的人有多“懒”。他归纳的“愚人”号码有四种：历史开奖号码、(媒体、民间)预测号码、算数规律号码(如连号)、几何规律号码(看走势图或者投注单号码形成的图形)等。其实，还应该有热号(如超级大乐透的大号)、冷号等。/ b! o" D7 J/ c. Z
每个选这类偏态号码的人，都认为自己是“剑走偏锋”，别人不会选这号，事实是，每期选各种偏态号码的人都不在少数。十年前程阳就曾以广西体彩的号码投注习惯进行过统计，有160人投上期号码，每期还有75人用往期号码投注，平均每期有45人只买最冷码。如果将这范围扩展到全国呢？——这次超级大乐透是一个很好的例子：5140注选择了前区的热号——大号。3 }0 {7 K! x8 a. z- ~, Z0 x* R
程阳也曾指出买这种号码的风险：对选择“愚人号码”的彩民来说，意味着“百万美梦”的破灭，因为要与成百上千人共享大餐；对发行机构来说也是一场噩梦，因为极可能要透支大大超出理论值的低等奖奖金；对彩票市场而言，多少要造成一些混乱，因为一般的彩民不了解发生这些现象的原因，从而产生对彩票公正性的怀疑，
1 ?8 _/ H. {9 q( A 11110期超级大乐透部分验证了上述观点，当期65注一等奖，单注奖金只有69万，同时也再次掏空了奖池，值得注意的是，彩票市场十多年的发展，造就了更加成熟的彩民：新浪做了一个调查——“你如何看待大乐透开出如此怪号？会有更怪号码出现吗？”结果有1904人选择了“正常，任何号码出现概率都相同，以后还可能出更怪的”，占45.6%， 明显多于其他两项：“神奇，前无古人后无来者”和“说不清楚”(数据截至9月21日上午11点)。
" ~8 L `6 r* q2 O+ t 这也给彩民一定启示，在选择号码时，所谓偏态、常态都是相对而言，其实不用考虑太多，重要的是，心态平和，娱乐购彩，只要是自己觉得不错，或者号码对自己有一定意义，大热、大冷、大偏态、大常态都无所谓，买彩票最重要的是一种带有公益心的娱乐。中奖要淡定，毕竟，万一中了巨奖就将改变一个人一生的轨迹。(熊斌) |
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