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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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- A2 f( l% Y% e s) ~$ _0 u: T其实原文标题不是这样的 q9 _+ F8 o" T5 V
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝..., v- }( s6 ^1 q( N# q3 O0 N M \
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
# U. A6 S/ X* {+ h5 s Z
7 W" |. J0 q5 ^8 L. L9 s3 t; }9 G' [. w 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。4 D q. Z3 M* A8 d# S2 n
1 T6 q5 |+ V# Y 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」$ [ I& Y3 B- ~. z
4 ^2 R2 ]. n% l. K8 N
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
) ]" T0 z: w: q8 m. Q4 x「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
0 V1 A+ s6 b! a9 U) Y9 _. P3 Z% {* [+ v* L& O0 H* Z* S
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
v+ n1 E r/ `& {4 O" r. @& w " b" c9 f& O3 a' Z, o
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，- L4 A, R- V- l! E" C0 d" ]
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
, J4 p+ A+ R5 n7 |: \长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
, K' y P3 r; m; E7 Q8 M因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。8 }: M% E% e6 {! e/ u1 [: ^
心想赢定了。
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8 a7 o+ u) l/ P3 T# h( @没想到开始不到半刻钟，/ `& v1 _+ j6 O/ K1 U8 I" Z* i
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，# R7 V& L: C2 U
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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; i' b6 E3 v `+ A* @) @赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?/ j2 i9 f* v l% U
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 , W: m& ^& R8 v' b
上帝回答道：
. P. H& ^& ]4 C4 B「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」/ ]8 w9 `( L/ }
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」2 L( `. U5 e3 T( s9 _; q/ u$ C, w
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
3 _( d, z1 x3 o2 I/ @- w+ W0 V" j1 H/ z9 C: F7 |3 V0 F4 T2 m
赌徒恍然大悟，
6 |! ~7 t z5 _) b; g# P原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
7 c+ Y9 {2 W3 V N& _3 X竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
7 Y" J" p B3 t( ^1 J/ s「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」2 X1 T( J T) E5 K! {
上帝说完便不见踪影。 ^, J* C' T0 c# P0 K; m7 H
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
+ i# J: J {. q/ A# @若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
3 {& H- \8 _2 `8 k( v# l1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
s3 O0 c$ D; F9 `对赌徒十分有利。+ a0 J# @: v4 @
- |, \6 X3 o0 K! D# y1 H) \但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
6 h1 n# n' C1 O9 `* i. u3 @- H& G在还没掷到1000次之前，8 \" U, v5 j! S
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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5 c+ E, O( s2 U5 b 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。! I) E3 s& L, k) }6 ^2 ?
" f8 r; y4 N7 j7 t' F* ] 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，; _( q9 z6 _$ t1 J4 j9 b+ H2 y
6 v* U! I' D7 E* }5 r 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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