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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
( k6 q# `* ]' k# |
, C7 G4 B0 q# I" j z比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？+ G3 c5 Q$ V2 h9 ]+ H
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在' J8 P; Q) e- n! O$ A- Y
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过( `" `* d0 t1 B4 s, N- o7 j6 E( D
0 H. d0 m' `% [9 R+ P' `1 o9 S1 r8 c中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全& x4 a% o6 O: l" a6 c
! b, O4 }7 k3 S6 d' s4 Y2 d去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
: }" g8 v! E8 b) I/ m
- I* d% H! C) R! Y5 H o: x1 ^& E5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH # Q" l8 `: I. O5 f: R/ g
5 Z; Y: T m6 S! i* X* {
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和& Z9 V' |( _2 D1 x8 N9 [
' q) M8 A' _3 OETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
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美金）。$ e; _! F$ Q' O: u. z. V
: r, I `) {% g6 f5 I) q+ Z
9 W1 `! i% F- x2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态: O/ V: ^; y9 ^
" M3 }; ]( l9 r; Y比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
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构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
0 d z5 u. j5 O% f
# o4 e- [& N1 p3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户/ z1 L& r( I" v. ~; J
% G5 y6 q) c/ B/ G
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
4 M0 \& t6 z7 {3 o. I4 a4 M9 K2 K% d) p3 n1 T/ Y- d
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
3 H* ^* ~. f: V9 |/ a# b
' ?! N+ |3 L" n4 z' `1 X8 r约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
3 f/ e4 o6 r9 f9 q0 x* q$ ]' \; e- d. c" ^
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
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5 G3 i8 R+ X; s: }5 i金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
2 U3 s, |& i5 ]
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2 K" p- G* O" q
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