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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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+ P: V) j9 v4 ~/ h1 K) a. m* I, @
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明! [ h2 M8 k7 h2 Y9 V5 j$ T. `) b2 r
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
: T2 m/ N8 M6 `' G* n且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
& C2 A9 A0 p/ ]% C; O% K官员预计：2024将降息3次
; u3 D! W" _) V( x# }, r$ g3 s% L# ~) ]虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季) n% {% ?# p+ g8 d3 E
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
+ ]3 O, Q- D) [# P' ?. ~% k" Y已经开始讨论降息的时机。9 j. J8 I, A! t. e5 M$ o
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
2 k T- ~) X$ z' v( ^走高。
+ h- R3 ?% f, E9 }/ j且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
% I8 [' H9 [: Y/ \) [+ t3 n. Q解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。4 Z6 X8 D& ^+ ^% t% t! g
比特币冲破4.3万
3 I1 ^0 ^7 O& F受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。0 w" e3 N9 I6 t) p8 ^, Q
截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。/ N1 `0 J# g1 h9 H+ @8 `
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
$ e, C' B7 Z* j6 c: S8 d t1 I美股四大指数齐扬
4 \1 ]- W' l& B, b: j+ {回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
% v/ Q6 T2 I* v! c2 [) D道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
8 g) N9 L h, q9 Q$ w% ~: U! \) J: h纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点! k% f j5 P* ^5 Q" z
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
' a* b5 `. c! {费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点 `3 k$ p( s% H0 A6 O
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%
3 R4 p7 ?: `; z; b2 p" X1 T F另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
: n3 o* O8 p" O7 l& G( M被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将- c: ~ v6 I$ S
跌到更接近3%水平。7 k0 D9 r. v, k1 D a# |; P# Y
4 I$ n- Z/ L b* y
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