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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。1 ~) [4 Z; v: {$ H4 e/ e
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。2 u4 @5 A2 ~ |) g# p1 U( J
. o3 ~/ ]. u# H& Y3 T% X比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
' A3 M* \* |( }% M9 w6 A; T7 W* i7 ]6 j2 h5 G+ {' x0 z, H; j/ R
+ }$ I& y3 I3 F7 d1 m在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。) X2 C+ @7 h0 I- w
) j/ |4 K7 l( O. I" q% q在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，& d+ i" M/ r b! I Q! X7 D
( P7 m8 R; s# K9 |- Z, C9 i/ `0 g1 w
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统3 o9 U4 c Y r+ w! G% m/ T( O1 k, J
2 G% W# J U8 ~$ k5 v资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。* K7 t D# ^& E8 r5 {
; e( i* n, p& r6 P3 r从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
/ r+ V; F0 G: t% P8 Z4 Z' i& {+ y
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
% h1 {3 Z ]9 M& r v+ \/ J# Y: @$ A0 _; p4 z p/ k7 L7 }/ X
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交" B z$ D- e9 Y* C; |: ^3 i7 y/ v
6 f, t9 k5 A! I6 J0 x; X/ w6 ~
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。: V" a: d5 ^" p4 C
- a9 q6 Z- a& J4 c7 W ~/ o天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币9 {8 I1 F0 l* }# `% u# L: N
, w/ S" e4 l% _4 v; A; C$ uETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围: X8 d, B- p' a7 F
; d' v+ q% j# k+ B; W7 O3 o
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
: c' a4 t, l" e! X- g" l% P! D" a1 v$ K& z d/ H v
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
& ^$ d1 p4 c/ ?# Y% }6 \
" P) u1 U+ B! [3 W4 Q2 Q5 C7 x在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat 2 O1 m+ }, W+ [' H3 @8 o
6 T7 M3 R8 [6 o$ K1 P7 K9 R1 {
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增， y2 X1 K4 m8 f9 N4 r
1 Y' z$ ~2 ~" t* `; E" b$ w! S比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
/ f$ w5 c% P( m
" g# j$ \8 `4 C4 Z- {# i5 \的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。. F7 q: y; T3 e/ s
6 j. T5 |! Z1 S3 h
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身# H3 N$ G; l/ D
5 {0 d8 @+ F2 ?6 A+ x4 y$ N W! t+ H
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和1 q8 J1 y# A' C3 V" r( i \
7 u+ S- b1 p% H- t. H7 R7 P
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。9 Q" {/ |& Q9 E) o
- J7 \1 i* o/ B |
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