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[lastpost] => 2682464 美国出售丝绸之路比特币：69370 BTC进入市场（转） 1728419746 语文家庭作业
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无论谁获胜，加里·根斯勒都可能出局
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: i' U2 @/ y: d$ ~1 x自接任美国证券交易委员会主席以来，加里·根斯勒在加密货币社区中几乎没有交到朋友。虽然他取得了一些显著的胜利，但他的执法监管方式也在法庭上遭遇了失败。6 w- Z" H; K' X' X, w
5 o3 d0 @6 R# |7 G- S前总统唐纳德·特朗普曾承诺，如果根斯勒当选，他将“解雇”他，但这从未真正发生过。传统上，如果白宫在任期内发生变动，SEC 主席就会辞职。如果我们看到副总统- y% [) b, `% @- ]
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卡马拉·哈里斯获胜，她的ZF采取与对手类似的立场，试图赢得该行业的青睐，也就不足为奇了。变化就在眼前。, s4 t& _5 j5 N3 c- ], W) z
: i6 d: Z4 p8 L {8 G% i7 B. ]* R5 [' l哈里斯的胜利可能使比特币受益，而特朗普的胜利可能有利于以太坊
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比特币在很大程度上充当了一种商品，当美国利率降低、资本变得更便宜时，比特币就会流入。鉴于哈里斯ZF可能会延续当前的货币政策并增加ZF支出，加密货币2 J8 ], Y3 `1 B+ \5 N
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市场应该会保持稳定，甚至可能攀升。相反，特朗普的胜利将意味着激励加密货币公司在美国孵化——这是美国一直缺乏的。可以说，在特朗普ZF的领导下，将出台! F( r, L' M% ?1 B9 P
* A& ?0 t: s$ e% m5 r) C更清晰的监管框架，从而为去中心化金融 (DeFi) 领域带来更多机会。鉴于 DeFi 生态系统主要建立在以太坊上，特朗普ZF可能会使其和其他第 1 层协议受益。8 b; S8 J3 n/ `) a2 P" ~ `
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哈里斯ZF可能会引入加密货币资本利得税
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虽然选举胜利将使哈里斯能够制定自己的政策议程，但她在一个考虑过对加密货币征收资本利得税的ZF中任职了三年半。考虑到即将流入该资产类别的资本数量，随' F" ^, w3 d2 \% b3 d
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着加密货币融入传统金融，很难想象美国ZF不会试图从中分一杯羹。鉴于特朗普ZF的政纲已经明确表示希望“关注”加密货币的顽固分子，因此在特朗普ZF领导下增! R0 n; b& v# B% l, F- I* e) [
' u+ n& u* F) U2 X加税收的可能性似乎较小。: z4 i0 e# t2 e
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特朗普将在选举前发布关于比特币和数字资产的正式计划) n' ^) J6 b( ^( S$ p
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虽然哈里斯在竞选过程中对数字资产基本保持沉默——只是顺便提到了它们以及其他新兴技术——但特朗普一直在正式争取“加密货币选票”。这位前总统成为今年夏天第" u# Z8 }2 o, z0 f b; P0 o2 Z
+ i4 ?. b7 g# j1 c) \一位也是唯一一位参加 2024 年比特币纳什维尔活动的总统，他在会上发表了著名言论，称比特币的未来将在美国，他将“让伊丽莎白·沃伦和她的暴徒远离你的比特币”。
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他还推出了自己的 DeFi 项目 World Liberty Financial。如果要在大选前实现关于加密货币和数字资产的正式政策建议，那么很可能来自特朗普竞选团队。
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3 q; _, s+ h" R, g$ b变革几乎总是比预期的要长得多，而且发生的方式也与计划不同。比特币也不例外。比特币背后的使命和信息或许是几个世纪以来最强大的解放力量信号。然而，如果比 r8 l9 O$ Y, \6 H% I
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特币和加密货币的核心原则得以实现，掌握权力的机构将蒙受最大的损失。
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