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[lastpost] => 2798663 比特币ETF本周开局资金流出3.94亿美元：未来走势如何？（转） 1768873441 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊 ETF 流入资金达 18.5 亿美元——是比特币的 25 倍！（转）
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ETH ETF 的周净流入量是 BTC ETF 的 25 倍，推动 CME ETH 基差交易量接近 12%。现在能达到 4000 美元吗？% f* U( O: x4 R7 }$ m% ?9 P
: a3 _7 j( e2 u3 ?- v; v; b以太坊[ETH]已经翻转比特币[BTC]ETF 流入量。7 月 21 日至 25 日当周，ETH ETF 净流入 18.5 亿美元，约为 BTC ETF 净流入量 7200 万美元的 25 倍。
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8 _9 c' t5 a; z* `! o, F目前，ETH ETF 组合持有的总资产超过 200 亿美元。其中一半是由贝莱德的ETHA 最近突破了 100 亿美元。) G9 P- _6 @) [4 G
0 b/ a9 Q0 D' a对冲基金追逐ETH基差交易% [: q1 B0 E( q3 l# C+ t
但 ETH ETF 的显著流动似乎主要是由寻求基础交易的对冲基金推动的。# D, D5 [# [- F2 R3 N
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这是基金买入现货 ETH ETF 并在 CME（芝加哥商品交易所）期货上做空资产时出现的价差。# Y/ q6 ~, l- H: z3 x6 a
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事实上，芝商所期货未平仓合约也强化了上述基础交易论点。Velodata显示，ETH 的兴趣激增至近 200 万个硬币，而 CME 期货上的 BTC 只有 15 万个。
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此外，ETH CME 年化基差本周从 8% 飙升至近 12%。+ M0 m3 u9 j3 e/ Z% q7 [0 R" }
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同期，BTC 基差上涨了 9.4%，证实了过去一周 ETH ETF 资金流与 BTC 资金流的差异可能是由基差交易推动的。" K; e$ p! ?7 w
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ETH/BTC 比率则表明情况并非如此! s- n+ g# [/ @' B
事实上，ETF 流量的巨大差异几乎没有影响 ETH/BTC 比率，该比率是衡量顶级加密资产之间资本轮换的指标。( C9 H9 `4 ^) ^, x5 V
2 A# X W d4 r与前一周 ETH/BTC 上涨 28%（这意味着资金从 BTC 转向 ETH）不同，该指标静音 本星期。
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难怪大多数山寨币的价格下降，因为 ETH/BTC 比率是山寨币市场领域的晴雨表之一。
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现货需求也受到追捧
: f7 C0 H S" j( O4 R2 l但现货 ETH 也存在真正的需求，尤其是来自财务公司领先预期的稳定币和代币化热潮。
# H1 P' _, D- y* \; y/ Y) I+ C9 L
Y7 e: ~( R# R9 ~8 i! q; N& ?' }事实上，Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood著名的最近从验证者那里赎回 ETH 的热潮部分是受到 ETH 国库券需求的推动，因为 ETH 国库券的潜在回报为 2 倍。! R5 C8 G$ }! Y) g: Z4 `
; y' {# d! }8 L7 c& I' ]Coinbase 分析师也强调了类似的立场，额外,+ M1 p! O, h2 Q) c8 e+ r* b
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“我们认为，这（解除质押需求）描绘了市场为了应对收益机会的变化而重新分配资本的图景，而不是对 ETH 或生态系统失去信心。”
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这种转变是合理的。质押奖励仅为 3%，而基础交易的奖励高达 12%，几乎是 ETH 资金库潜在回报的 2 倍。, j4 n6 T" H. l9 K# {7 [
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ETH 这波像换了马达，ETF 热钱狂涌、基差狂飙、CME爆仓量创新高，4000美金不是梦，关键就看现货跟不跟！
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