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[lastpost] => 2811160 欧洲斯托克波动率指数自2025年4月关税风波以来首次升破30关口 1772552801 我也来辣
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近日中东局势紧张，避险情绪升温，收市前金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。+ i, J+ Z: K& e. B' I# L9 V3 `$ c
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2月28日，美国开始在伊朗实施重大作战行动。
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消息传出后，加密货币大幅跳水，比特币直线暴跌，一度跌破63500美元，主流币种集体跳水。
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+ ~$ w* d2 j; v1 C6 c, u8 O! U: Y# s避险资产黄金、白银及原油则在上周五周末休市前已强势走高，市场普遍预期下周开盘后，大宗商品市场将出现剧烈波动。4 M9 w6 u* ~1 s4 T+ F/ C0 P; ]- d
U. E$ E' s0 F; a- B1 B! X# V2月27日收市前，国际金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。其中伦敦收报每盎司5278美元，盘中最高触及每盎司5281美元；一度突破94美元。
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原油市场同样反应激烈。由于中东局势急转直下，市场担忧原油供应面临直接威胁，截至当天收盘，美国价格收于每桶67.02美元，涨幅为2.78%；伦敦价格收于每桶72.48美元，涨幅为2.45%。地缘风险溢价已迅速计入油价。, n- l) T) G& {6 n" M. s$ x
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随着周末休市，交易员们虽暂时离场，但对下周开盘后的行情预判却未停止。一位交易人士对记者称，本次中东冲突的烈度与持续性，将成为左右下周金融市场的核心变量。目前市场普遍预期，下周国际与油价可能出现较大波动。/ l) w. n! ~4 A- S2 y
0 \ M2 U: |. \7 ]4 Y% @1 x“对于黄金而言，若冲突持续升级，避险资金将进一步涌入，金价有望挑战新高，”上述交易人士进一步分析称，但局势不确定性大，也需警惕获利盘了结带来的回调压力。4 D, X5 g9 m; C' L) _( t, \4 t
# I$ _0 i: ^2 F/ ^& H7 p& w对于原油，情况更为复杂。当前油价上涨的核心驱动是地缘冲突预期带来的风险溢价。地处霍尔木兹海峡承担着全球约20%的原油海运贸易，目前市场对其航运安全十分敏感，甚至不需要实际的供应中断，就会推高油价。
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& ]# t7 C: V" Q9 G) N( z北京师范大学教授万喆表示，当前全球原油市场的基本面是供应过剩的，油价上涨已完全脱离了供需的基本面，如果局势发生缓和，价格也有可能会快速回调。
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中东局势一紧张，果然避险资产先涨了，资金都往这跑啊 |
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这波避险行情真带感，加密币崩了，金银油直接起飞，得赶紧瞅瞅仓位 |
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% r4 H; D, W) |- j如果你试水的没有跑掉，现在可不止是一顿火锅了 |
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