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[体育菠菜心得方法] [转载]复盘的重要性和复盘的要点
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1#
一种朋友说复盘有什么用,反正钱已经打水漂了。% D$ L' }% i: Y! G* g1 [
一种朋友说复盘是复盘会走进误区的 因为复盘时是倒推的 (今天一位朋友的评论)。8 E; @* j3 Y, {. S. S2 k
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前一类朋友也许深深地陷入了输钱的痛苦中,复盘,以后再说,疗伤完毕后,再买,又伤了,继续疗伤。。。。。。。。。。。。。他博的是概率,是返还率,朋友,有看过返还率超过百分百的慈善博彩公司吗,不复盘,不知己知彼,能打败它吗。& A. y2 `+ Z+ A$ R6 B
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第二类 朋友可能忘记了老祖宗说的一句话,前事不忘后事之师。不吸取教训的人,永远不会成功。也不太懂西方的另外一句话,人不能两次踏进同一条河流。生搬硬套的人永远不会成功。
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相同的赔率,相同的盘口,类似的赔率变化,类似的贴水结果吗?有时会,有时不会,那么记得他们有什么用,有用,因为要记得的不是数值而是势和引。  ]! }$ `6 D& A0 `" |2 Y$ c( \

# p, W8 @, J$ Q势指的是球队间的实力对比,各队对比赛的期望(非赢不可,还是可以接受平局,还是可能会不为难别人,你懂的),球队的伤病情况,等等一系列基本面的东西,从而对比赛的走势有个预判
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' X* x3 i2 ~, ]6 n6 l8 Y, C引则包括媒体的新闻报道,不能说所有新闻都是博彩公司的托,应该说有相当部分是博彩公司的托,或者是博彩公司故意放出假消息,最重要是赔率和盘口和贴水,以及赔率和盘口的变化,通过这些揣测博彩公司我们的钱往哪引。
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/ y" m! }1 c) q- y, T有两句话很重要
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' r$ s' i8 x* C% ^. O既要看赔率,也要看赔率升降,两者同样重要,缺一不可。
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既要看盘型,更要看水位。亚盘的可怕之处在与,有时候即使有些盘口你明知是低水必出,还是在高水或超高水的诱惑下下注高水,而有时候你明明觉得某个队很又希望,看看是超高水,不由的望而却步。
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. f9 u! Z5 c- H' ?% {' ]复盘,包括复赔率和复盘口,还包括复水位变化,甚至包括走地盘口的赔率,水位,盘型贴水。; R+ b/ j7 u3 ^4 e1 i

/ C; \9 `* O# ?在相似的势加相似的引之下很可能出相似的结果,只有一个相同,甚至是一个方面的一个小点相同,就匆忙下结论,科学吗?
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什么相似的比赛会出同样的结果啦,赔率统计出什么多买什么啦,水位升降一般出什么结果啦,不觉得很好笑吗5 g4 p  D2 l, l+ ~% N

7 R( ?5 n& N9 ]# y+ _& N* ]这些说法有些有一定道理,但只以其为唯一判断依据那就是大错特错,有些根本就是错误的。
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9 ^# k' [8 Y; _* u7 i* S1 z& j3 q复盘有什么要注意的吗,有,每天那么多比赛,那么详细的去复盘,我们有几个脑袋够我们用,那我们要注意下面几点
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! v; L- C" C0 I8 d" R小联赛和受注量小的联赛不复盘,因为这些比赛博彩公司开盘比较随意,操盘目的的绝大多数是为了平衡受注收水钱,而不是诱盘。但异常赛果值得关注,值得复盘。* m" B9 `' R7 E
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五大联赛和欧冠的比赛中的焦点赛事值得深入研究,尤其是打出冷门和心理冷门的比赛。
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# n# c% G4 z7 j* n5 ~/ \+ R三 注意,即使是大型比赛还是有相当一部分比赛,博彩公司是以收水钱为目的,不是所有球都存在诱盘,
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" A. M. y2 ^$ L; ^# ]3 V+ v4 T这样非诱盘的比赛博彩公司的赔率和概率是吻合的,没有太多复盘价值。$ F6 I+ J9 G1 h- q
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四不是所有诱盘都是成功的,也有公司诱上盘打出出上盘,诱平打出平的,因为博彩公司也不是神,他们更多的是对比赛结果的精准预判,这是一种掌控(而不是什么球都是直接操纵),这种掌控也不是百分百,出现这种情况不要对自己失去信心,把这场球放一边,继续建立属于自己的势与引的模型,并在一次次复盘中不断提高自己,修正模型,才能从输钱到不输钱,到赢钱。
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2#
了解了点复盘知识!!!
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