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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 % ^ H+ a: r) R |' D9 `
7 y2 K8 x& \ ^$ M7 W d
其实原文标题不是这样的4 j% K1 w/ h4 ?2 v1 V5 ]6 q
7 U+ L; y" `" d( u: V; w
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!/ ~* s( d1 J+ J. F
8 s* l+ O: ~, M4 Y' ]
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
5 W1 |4 E& W* h# u! s l0 J8 G& O他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
Z8 M" |& Z/ ~& l
* e4 Y" l+ \/ Q1 v2 ~ 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。9 E- l9 r' G, E; _% F) J: {- {
6 R5 t% w- J" j' X w1 ^% Q6 ? 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
6 _. s7 X4 t# ~' C* R 2 f7 S3 {* @1 w8 {
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 . j# [) E5 K/ \% ~/ A
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」- c+ r- P, t' ?* X$ f' R, |3 {
# J2 }8 T: s$ R, h9 z 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
: E8 N6 p6 f$ T# J7 t! ^# M
4 {2 ?* s1 i7 p2 @! u/ K接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
' [5 ~8 w* ^. c) a/ {7 P& ]因此铜板较容易出现正面。
+ E( z5 D( Q$ N$ g0 W长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 - f G. Q& p: g- f7 x- b+ i, ]/ A
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。; \8 C1 J( \/ p ]1 V- i0 E
心想赢定了。
1 U' V2 ]# `5 F' ^( Y) M+ b 8 |. f7 M* ~5 O5 R
没想到开始不到半刻钟，6 U2 D( b: d& J ~2 _! a% N
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」- L* k$ O5 U) N
" q/ W F+ d; P赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
1 z& m- B5 X& ^* {3 o, y% @ Z但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
% v& I1 ]% V# ? 5 R, Z9 S* h% L
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
) Q1 r3 i: c) z% B8 I8 Z他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 - c( ^3 c% O) ~$ R2 r
上帝回答道：2 [ d' p# e" t9 P1 {$ S
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」# p4 J. ~; [, E; g3 r7 f
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」' u$ E- g; y& G, I' b9 q
「而不是先发生在我身上。」' @! C) [: U$ B! w: C! A( e
3 ^1 t5 U; s5 u8 j 赌徒恍然大悟，
4 z) d; Q* @2 ]1 _, n原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
; v! a9 Z7 ] C# `' W1 @1 M竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
# M V$ k7 g5 S/ D「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」% L" s* p# N/ u, r
上帝说完便不见踪影。 + h3 z K3 u5 `5 t/ M5 ]
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
: l2 U$ V1 g% m9 ^7 U3 o, R/ o若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，) }- d" B4 n! b9 H" U
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
0 ~* }) t) @+ U, \对赌徒十分有利。
! j* V. }: M T g" T
% ]# G) ~; V0 P但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，9 Q7 d; M# i m+ x+ Z
在还没掷到1000次之前，
1 O; @' j& [6 o: s# X& Q仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
& ~; L. I+ {, D+ P1 F) z/ H
+ ]+ v9 p/ d% L4 I) z6 \ 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
( j; V0 t- Z1 S b
7 Z& |0 t* @! i% r 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
6 [- X9 o/ C4 U
/ g% v& m5 w% [! j. Z' a% d8 Q 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ + } Y: L' z5 i' x9 I9 G% Q
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