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[lastpost] => 2690167 美国大选结束后，加密衍生品市场情绪转为看涨：报告（转） 1731164586 rainwang
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[虚拟币资讯]
分析狗狗币：尽管存在看涨背离但为什么空头头寸可能是关键
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自去年 11 月以来，狗狗币一直处于下跌趋势。价格确实在 3 月份触底，并从 0.11 美元的低点大幅反弹至 0.18 美元，但狗狗币以及其他加密货币市场的情绪在 4 月份再次转向恐惧。
3 m, |1 i+ O) V2 l比特币在K线走势图上显得疲软，看起来将连续第九周出现红色蜡烛。这种无情的下行压力也可能对 DOGE 价格产生重大影响。 ) b' D6 ^. s0 x9 Q7 O9 C$ a1 l0 Z
DOGE- 12 小时图; Z- O4 t0 u. Z! q2 x* D
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在价格图表上，可以看到价格已经设置了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。3 月底有几天，反弹至 0.18 美元似乎打破了先前看跌的市场结构，并将其转为看涨。但是，价格无法获得 0.14 美元的支撑。 : L4 ^7 ~. ` t a( F" {* I
5 月，0.14 美元区域被重新测试为阻力位，价格继续快速下跌至 0.07 美元大关，然后反弹至 0.09 美元水平。因此，5 月份卖家压倒性地强势，0.8-0.1 美元区域是多头要击败的阻力位。
: o L, t9 u1 Q( B6 y& }% a4 U看涨背离似乎正在形成，但价格会随之上涨吗？更紧迫的是，这样的暴涨会以新的、兴奋的买家的形式为长期持有者提供退出流动性，还是可以开始真正的上升趋势？
; ^) S. {2 t+ x; P0 H0 k$ T基本原理6 T( x6 `1 z% w0 @% R0 s% A
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RSI 为 41.16，略高于 40 关口，表明强劲的看跌势头可能正在减弱。还可以看出，40 关口过去曾充当支撑和阻力，因此突破 40 对多头来说是鼓舞人心的。随机 RSI 也在向上攀升。 7 u7 B! I7 E5 c& h( T G. p* y
OBV 在过去两周内创下了更高的低点，尽管价格创下了更低的低点（橙色）。同样，RSI 也创下了更高的低点。这是一个看涨背离，表明价格反弹可能即将到来。 : B$ a* Z" Y! j5 N( d/ Y- V9 k
结论 e5 o! [7 D, L( V' s7 B
单独的背离并不能决定反弹，如果这样的向上移动到来，可能还需要几天的时间。由于市场结构仍然压倒性地看跌，而不是寻求买入看涨突破，交易者可以在 0.1 美元区域内做空 DOGE。止损可以设置在 0.11 美元以上。
9 h! U8 y4 y$ |1 Y( M. ^来源：金色财经 |
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