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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767120437 人生如赌
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。 + W7 ~. R' s# `" x! N
但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000.
0 d1 z" s1 e3 S+ b, V0 x+ e依旧处于底部箱体阶段！
_9 [ T7 i- L; g3 n9 m其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！
+ X* `8 X( L) N- N5 e极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、 ; t* L) ]/ n; h4 P% j: ?3 m
所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！ # M* D- T5 z8 U3 g/ \4 P5 T
但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。 + }$ {% J0 b, {: ^ V
技术面补充、
+ n8 {3 [' Q6 w2 ]3 \在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、
4 R. l+ U7 j0 }: T3 D' R一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点， # T. B3 m% p* r( c6 K# |- B
而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、
; y& ]: J* u8 v7 h充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！
) Y$ z) y. O0 \" I: ^3 S; }也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。 ! g, [, l3 b' m j; Y' |
所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。
# J) M6 z3 g) {0 I/ Y2 S' o/ Y1 `) B那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。 5 e5 P5 j' [" A& q' `2 f& Y
短线也可以此为据、 G! {* N, n# R! K$ E0 g2 V2 ]8 o
（这也是近半月未做短空、）
( K9 w( f2 V z% v消息上、
' x9 n3 v& x9 K% ]除bnb调查事件、 # v, [' h% Y# v+ U, b: O: L p$ c, U
近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。
* C; \( L% ?8 k紧密形成国际合作。
- q. L/ T, S% J- Y8 i) J- S6 [- @" c" _整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、 0 _6 p6 I2 A. o0 c8 x- ?5 k" @% F& u
综上、整体来看、 6 r( Q- r. C) J/ H% q4 b
市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。 + }: ?& a0 \& L y
但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。
0 `8 {& @! o7 F且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%） ! Q8 x/ G8 _1 {) _! |- Y. v$ L
那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。 " j; B2 Z |1 {( P( H( }) o5 I
市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
; y- k. ]) A4 V8 `+ q而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。 ) R* y$ @5 y2 d! V4 [0 V9 M
七月、即使同步加息50基点。 , N9 F3 b" o5 x5 L5 @# {5 Y
个人认为、市场可承受！
0 a+ S1 S) q" ]$ z& o同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。
+ ?8 s* W; d9 h0 I/ B6 ^6 V& k近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。 $ S/ I$ J- T e* c/ w
日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜） 7 b) K V# }. a) \5 Q
大饼建议回踩4小时低点 : ]0 Z( c8 o7 ~5 t. w
29900激进接多 r4 K7 H! ]/ {1 s1 s
29650补仓 ' V2 b; i0 }* H9 N& _ F9 R2 S
防守29300 0 O* ]7 ]0 x7 D3 J, K$ T4 w
目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000
! u) d3 ~& q: x以太回踩1768激进接多
. M/ a- ]- J2 i2 [$ ]" P1745补仓 / W# y+ Y6 @, I
防守1720
# g2 d4 I% f9 [% O' a5 E( q目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900 9 h) B# [1 a6 [3 r1 A
观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。 8 n. X- L' m& c% J {+ P: k
短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。 ' x% P# P1 ^! G9 k5 Z, E7 @4 Y$ g
看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。
' @& ]- Q" a+ w: {) ^: T8 o在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。
, o1 k9 G/ ~' k+ Q7 g6 f切记注意长线进场时机。 # M/ y( i# p. F# R5 S. v
来源：金色财经 |
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