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[lastpost] => 2793443 比特币失去对白银的波动溢价，但并未失去长期支撑——接下来会发生什么？（转） 1767180140 g9527
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.15补仓 凌晨2点是否加息75基点 已无关紧要 即使不加 也会取消排除75基点
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五月cpi暴雷后、75基点呼声不断、 9 q% r/ Q' }0 o4 r6 j$ o! I: I
重点关注凌晨2点消息落地、
& a( W/ G1 _" h8 H0 E但个人判断，即使7月依旧50基点。 + u* n8 P' P/ p( S& _/ F" @$ c
但大概率会取消排除更为激进的75基点实施。
" U9 N6 V: U' Q% V. S三大股指及大饼都相继跌破5月横盘低点、
p/ u+ A9 B0 O& p大饼一度试探两万点，以太千点关口。
4 h3 ?" n+ o% N# N" y个人倾向刺破！
- H. z9 o5 k* i" g2 w0 J, f' B消息上、也大多为不利。 - s* e4 V# \& ^0 T2 s" l6 d
coinbase大跌18%、裁员18%。 ( _, B; l0 m3 K0 `
灰度、特斯拉、美团、萨尔瓦多等实力派、均出现巨额未实现亏损。
* n3 f! u* r0 I/ z' w+ e6 O1 p; K三箭资本疑似多次清算！ 8 z, h: N, Y4 P8 ~+ e7 y
机构尚且出现亏损、散户无须疑问。 # K6 ]1 t& S# ?& _2 d( i) A+ U
在近两天多次补充过、
) I& l4 E! u m这样的环境下、 ( [" c9 c9 ?+ i- B' V9 w
市场只能分为两种可能、 / ^! j" S3 N0 |+ ~& H8 j) n% a
1弱势横盘、在局部区间震荡。
& i; s3 \, G8 ]4 r' A8 |2继续恐慌蔓延破位、资金继续出逃。 8 y( j; Z+ l+ y5 u. d2 J) @" Q
抄底会有，但极度恐慌下，不具备形成持续性。
0 D, B" Y9 U( a7 ?, F' g环境因素，也不具备大牛条件。
7 b- K% k) d+ w7 {* p0 L& R$ c最好的情况，止跌横盘！
+ `5 a: H8 q' M) w而行情大面积好转，cpi是第一参考指标。
s! r6 ^( ^$ x( w* M+ T在膨胀问题，急需得到控制期间。 1 _, K. n6 u: b" a
加息抽水等重拳出击、
% G, t* g- ^, z又有牛短熊长之铁律，会有一段煎熬的时间。
. I0 p E0 u5 E但对周期现货者无妨、 , @; ?8 d! u1 |0 J! k; _, X
（短期无论市场如何、未来依旧可期。69000不是终点。）
/ k, n; c+ } h6 @3 [. a# B附夜间至凌晨思路及点位、
& o. y- J- w( F3 n9 r: {' o% M) I思路、不抄底，不追弱势反抽。只做反弹高空。 8 Q; y% {! t9 ~7 G* U/ {
夜间如50基点，但不排除75基点。 1 y5 `& f6 i* Z* n
是一码事、而75基点只会跌的更快！ 6 b2 t y3 Y' y7 J3 |; Q( G5 w0 C9 ]
点位、
3 _1 c" s+ |0 h" W" X! p$ d大饼反弹至21200激进高空 补仓21450 防守21700
; p g- P) P( X& P: l' z目标下看20450-20000-19500
! h. C' @8 @, F( N8 h以太反弹至1125-1130高空 补仓1145 防守1155
* ^* m; f L% F# D目标1060-1030-1000 破位再度下看百点。 " R9 m/ ^; f' K6 n6 u9 \( n; T2 o: ]! m
目前环境是极为不利。
9 ]* r2 v9 Y( H' T0 ^6 i% q9 j除了被套选择割肉、想做T。前期或短期抄底，也会松动，选择更低点进场。 0 v( y7 R) \4 p# ?8 f. ~7 E1 t
这就造成了蔓延踩踏行情。
' I$ q& A$ `! Q, a因为对短期重磅加息，不看好接下来几月走势。 9 C4 L r; o# b# r3 N
一旦彻底走熊，做多共识大面积恢复，需要多个条件综合。但现在一项也不具备！ $ z8 T- s5 E! D
切记，现货勿割，没有必要。合适时机。 9 D( F4 L* t5 V$ m9 t7 u
余勋，会作出补充，补仓拉均价，亦或者进场。
. k$ x( {2 h4 { F9 B来源：金色财经 |
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