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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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! R( B9 d# m: W& F! x+ q美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明1 [( \2 k) Y6 H2 k: l `8 ~
中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
, _; x0 @9 d' d* i% ~4 z且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。; J8 \: n" X* R1 X4 T
官员预计：2024将降息3次
% n) ?6 H6 |9 s, v& h @ v, |8 l虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
8 J1 Z6 ], G# S: W! W度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
& m# z5 m& S! c6 N, o+ k已经开始讨论降息的时机。9 ]. a7 ?" `# N- M
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅1 d* D7 M \* t0 Q" I! `
走高。' z. G7 [' {9 Y1 ^( H) X
且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓8 z/ z+ C: L' S* X
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
K/ ?( x* l% y/ k$ c: J比特币冲破4.3万
) _7 M6 Z* n6 d" k受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
8 z J" P2 g1 Z- _' d截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。# z0 u0 |4 O0 S9 I
以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。# T+ E, e% \/ F2 U. Y% T7 \8 k
美股四大指数齐扬
& k. p3 u( R% \! }回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高： T# H6 }& }9 e) w y
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点3 w/ ` K% n" T; J6 w4 T+ ]
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
7 J8 w4 L, S Q7 T4 b/ [; C标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
" t9 \6 D) i: u; j t. N% P% l$ k费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点. K; F4 O5 N9 t' A5 {
美国10年债殖利率跌破4%; X a0 ~0 u/ S' L
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。+ I; R0 e5 j. d
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将. R" y7 `& U& n/ }) ] ^& l
跌到更接近3%水平。- J% g; i& i3 M
: E& u& H" p2 }' e9 Q
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