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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
* b3 I) Y* g: v: X: P& H. _/ F至少有以下几个原因：
/ n( h' _$ v, j9 u; N8 _, U: x, o h/ }, K4 ^$ q& |
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。$ _2 g+ i; N3 T2 @
0 \9 v3 D) ?. @% N4 f( V
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化- Y9 H3 b' _# W/ ? q
0 W7 f6 j7 b& T7 C1 H机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案7 v8 z8 a" }! Z/ \! F, g$ K! k0 g
( P, L' ]% g. @$ v+ D5 U! h
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到4 J- w7 ~' d, n3 l* z
: ^; z: f3 p# X" O, a8 ?+ r7 Q P325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
, \& _" l: M5 N& ~: L: r1 Y8 u; g! w, n! k. {0 j- R: B
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有% }" j2 ~, o4 d& o
; x" G& N$ w3 Y达到200亿美金）
" J1 P) D6 t- `) n5 N9 D7 v! J+ @1 s, _ p3 Y
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
# k0 O" a% u( O) G( ?, @. D0 |8 N3 f
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化% }" e* } t5 X, a
2 T- o8 X7 `- Z; w- |4 }% i0 }; l9 }的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。' l; @/ V4 b% i! U9 a: y
8 K. z' ~5 C2 s6 d; d
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
) M0 K0 j% T. z. K* b5 s4 g4 Q7 f* R s) k7 S
资金的信任和青睐。& F. [' n/ Z4 ]. B4 M2 }4 Y
D" ? M. s3 U: _4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
# r8 t! g1 L L+ ?+ [: f- q
& |5 @' A3 J) T# F7 @# `- }2 ~金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
; W! M1 a( x! h% n; |* j+ C: P' r0 h
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。( J! j7 X1 T6 I: w3 ]* R
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