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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘!鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽!(转)
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。, s& f3 X1 X9 `+ J+ i4 }) m( E
+ l% W& t8 b$ ^' e9 |8 d5 \4 E& t
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。. P) S! t% o. t
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日,比特币(BTC)出现大幅波动,当
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- d6 L3 d; G8 a, }3 N$ U天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力,但未实现净损益(NUPL)等链上指标表明市场
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处于健康的看涨状态。
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& ^" e5 U4 h8 d3 QAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值,但在12月中旬
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短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象,引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
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* \! g2 |: Y6 L$ C+ b7 c2 w; k获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
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9 b5 A9 K; z$ |1 c7 A1 t/ BAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况,评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来,9 ^# Q& k/ E+ l& v' |" `$ u0 B
8 E/ s+ [4 v, u" rCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
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及,但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率,即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较+ `4 t: A9 z, Y6 y+ z
8 f" w. s. ?6 y- L5 @/ ]低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升,表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强0 z' b1 K9 e H% r/ t+ `7 G8 s3 Z
3 O; r+ l% Y3 T1 \7 F* l6 u劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。6 \" D6 q: \- r5 f8 Q8 O
; Y& ^7 t2 L0 v0 a+ I然而,该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限,表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF5 U* [! x) E0 X# s! S8 [
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申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
0 J3 \- E, R3 R& V- v, ~7 @+ [+ R7 f/ k N4 h$ s( ?5 o
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高,但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日,比特币
0 w5 V' V6 T& Y! F; ^8 }5 R* |( D0 K" c- C4 ~2 v
NUPL攀升至0.5以上,这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反,市场既不处于欣喜状态,也不
# Q4 N% c1 i( u" T% s* [6 l- L; b$ W5 A4 K3 ~8 w; g6 f: ~# L" y6 j
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期,这也与比特币最近几个月无法& V! N3 [7 h/ ]& F) Q! a: A
. Y! T' h# A# c
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
7 O7 f1 \9 L3 [7 n& ]
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因此,比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的0 i) l; i3 j" f& W7 K
. j4 Q/ Y* |( R- f+ A5 |7 g+ ]: Y1 [关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
7 H9 k0 X$ U% r' i: r& [5 s1 V& T, H
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