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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
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正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置' V3 f, U$ {3 W' |$ v
1 J' \# B4 V# q/ ~9 ]比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公% O- `7 i' I8 H
* W1 l% p% `. b9 x2 k; R! d4 }司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
0 m% J7 _* y1 ?$ p X2 o在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
/ f; c2 k, [$ y/ }# H! x
, z0 r9 |% x7 i4 g: U特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金: F- g D: S" P, S1 _' b& @" P7 f/ l/ V
& }8 j6 A7 T! a5 u6 |(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。' o/ h2 R: E# L! c; x( W
0 Z: x3 B9 e b8 I! G* M( d# g1 U
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
& a7 Z' K. O r* ^7 g" Y5 `$ w# S9 x8 f6 x
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，
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* G3 M1 S5 K# T% E" n; K: A并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
3 m; a: c0 c2 K8 F b9 `
! Y3 B! ~1 x+ P' Q. e# n( }( v“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特3 z; s4 p5 L8 r2 e. P% f
8 j2 h# S) Y# T! U5 B! O7 q币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价; u$ o! P$ \% ^. N8 v% u
# O9 v7 m) F3 w, K0 q6 @2 Z! E; y$ ]$ s格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。# {) M; Z, |% @/ i0 `: j0 ?) }
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大7 e- m$ D4 `# Z! H9 M
8 s! [9 [; s) m% t, K力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
! h1 k5 J1 m8 _" e; y) ~% w6 Y% ?* [. r7 }
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
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3 u4 {0 T+ K" f/ W" R4 a63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。4 q! z% C. J2 u3 ^% b
, d9 X- h& Y3 Z
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下* ^" g* v9 z8 K
3 n/ q$ F) k( A* [$ {# W
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该/ ?! U) M$ |: Q1 \) M
6 n' F# ]; R4 ?8 L5 j0 F8 a会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。: L, b/ \ G7 Z$ Z
8 S( |, t% B6 J# B) {$ Y
! @# u( J" \/ g6 [" j6 h7 \ |
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