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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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当前离线
经验:
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总在线: 12048 小时
本月在线: 6 小时
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的
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% L8 R& R: j y总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,2 c' E6 _3 k) w% d
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方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。
( ]3 x3 `- N! e7 {& x
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牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,9 P9 W, U( P; g3 I F# u" n2 N
5 |% e9 \9 A0 ~5 M+ NFidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天
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内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF
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宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿8 H8 {) o4 \; ^. ^" t, X
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枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到% b6 @- a4 |" A
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k线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成6 x1 r* o, O" Z2 c$ I0 E0 x
+ a y& |7 ]: u r+ J
震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死3 W0 ? p+ U5 i) U u
4 R/ `' A' e' Z' n+ M叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
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避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确. F1 F2 d2 f N7 r
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定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
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间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认
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9 w2 M3 T# B) N9 S4 Y为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。& I5 `4 Y: T4 [/ ]/ \) O8 L; h! Z6 ?- P
" \. N, R5 l$ ]: U从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
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,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
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位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,
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6 {1 S4 k. T/ K2 {/ KEMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。
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考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空, D- N8 ^: X) R0 L
1 u% E O1 {8 S5 s认为比特币至少会去次6万。7 e% K; k j9 v! ?$ \
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: p# }; q" {0 [) ? n3 t, W
抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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