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野村证券：预计美联储只会在明年再降息两次，然后将暂停降息至 2026 年 3 月
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比推消息，据金十报道，野村证券不再预计美联储将在 12 月的政策会议上降息。这使其成为在特朗普赢得大选后第一个暗示美联储将降息周期的全球券商。野村证券现在预计，美联储只会在 2025 年 3 月和 6 月的会议上再降息两次，每次 25 个基点。该券商对美联储在明年之前的联邦基金利率预测保持在 4.125% 不变。野村证券预计，在明年 6 月可能降息后，美联储将长期暂停降息，直至 2026 年 3 月。
美联储这一基准隔夜利率目前在 4.50%-4.75% 区间，今年迄今已经下调了 75 个基点。与此同时，包括高盛和摩根大通在内的其他全球券商仍预计，美联储下个月将降息 25 个基点。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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