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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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1 S; U& Z A, j- H, T报告中特别强调了这一论断。% h9 ~ S# o7 J0 G6 _# z, u6 F6 E7 f
美元抛售推高比特币1 X' z, G' Y4 X, z; V& x
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以+ ]1 {% y( |) S4 P5 r. p) l' r6 h3 c
' t5 J! P6 m$ y8 }8 R& }; [' u& a来的最低水平。: G% Q8 {( q( X+ t4 s9 z- g
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”' Q0 f& U2 N1 g& P" ^
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$ |! r' P* K9 h2 H- C根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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8 {, l1 i: M* O0 `数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。0 y) {7 f3 D6 g8 W( o. Q" }& X- ]5 Y* t
6 S6 w+ v+ ]0 E* E- n2 O' c2 }3 PAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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5 x; P% b' z! s高黄金和比特币的价格。* i1 p* A: \$ p* R& k3 A
4 t. \' m7 A; K. L8 v! u# i下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。8 Z; W' m3 @& o2 d
: \: x$ X* O: R0 i; [这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破/ {. p' w3 m2 [* h
: d+ A5 \8 |0 @% l4 E了8.7万美元。7 ^" G. @; c N1 t6 @. u- e' o/ x2 P
2 x5 V- l. h& r. C( }/ S然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，; P! j3 V4 E2 j8 w2 ~" U7 s
6 k6 E$ C o( V+ \/ {8 M“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”9 q( M9 J- B% P/ K9 t
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交+ q0 a8 z7 y+ j% _( {& a7 C7 d) Z0 m
$ ^& k, g9 K1 \$ X易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。3 Y1 b9 Y! S- Y: d" g- i# f
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