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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
' q9 i( |# G1 a5 R6 S: L) z6 }大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
j( m( S* }, }2 }. r1 s1 x尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。' z9 D& C$ d1 y' L& ^/ |$ L, B
* J1 r9 g. f3 _: C4 c$ t* I
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。0 Q* K0 m) `# [" o" F
4 I8 |* V' I3 b! |+ y7 d3 l
牛un云蒙上阴影
# w, K0 e+ R) c最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。, c: @/ N6 F* C1 \, _& B6 p
9 z& Z; T4 c0 p; u, O! O1 u即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。: H3 s! u k, `6 J
8 }0 m$ G8 e8 [, s k8 p! n( M3 Q
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
- B: [5 ]! E7 a# i% O* ?' s, y) k8 v8 O! q. u& v, d
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。4 ^' j3 E* g. P/ @) s
& j9 [" F* a4 y* b) r. A5 mBTC背后的机构引擎
5 P: N* c J" u" D% y; B在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。
! e& _ L d# C2 N5 W1 u$ W9 ]$ Q+ O4 E+ Z+ D* v( G0 b! B0 ^
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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: w/ |4 C, c- f* g与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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( q3 j* F- o$ B" o0 k机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
4 J4 w8 K6 L/ R& O: D# [; E7 o, |1 V* M8 m' V1 @; D# {- ]
怎么了？5 v. K- H8 { k) ^: u/ V7 u8 E+ k
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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2 s/ c* z6 m8 n- x2 d& h: `! J2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
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0 |' ~! E% L, {+ K+ Q风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。7 z4 J5 a. x( Z% v3 G B0 V( E8 ^* m
0 h9 p# ^3 t# p6 O" Z8 R( {尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。6 S# w8 M7 \7 i3 f
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