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[lastpost] => 2750023 电动汽车公司 Volcon 注入 5 亿美元资金加入比特币资金潮（转） 1752769605 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币与 3 万亿美元美国债务——现在是购买 BTC 的时候了吗？（转）
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雷·达里奥 (Ray Dalio) 警告称，美国债务可能会使与美元挂钩的财富贬值。8 s& Z" g& M/ a7 U2 s+ S; W
加密货币领导者将财政混乱视为 BTC 的看涨催化剂。
* x( X$ _+ J. ~% b4 m, l5 x比特币[BTC]随着 7 月 3 日税收和支出法案通过后美国债务问题成为头条新闻，加密货币推特上出现了大量看涨言论。
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根据 估计，预计该法案将在未来10年内增加3万多亿美元。" x; l+ R% F! w2 F N' F2 Z6 d- p9 q
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但是，对冲基金桥水基金创始人雷·达利奥著名的 如果该法案按原样实施，债务可能会失控。
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他警告说，未来10年内，普通美国家庭的债务负担可能变得难以承受。
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可能的后果是什么？增税、削减ZF支出或增加印钞。这可能会削弱美元的价值，并损害那些依赖美元来保住财富的人。7 a: p: k% L: G3 d+ B+ f: ~+ S
5 A+ j4 O3 Y5 Q4 l9 E4 Y+ d/ n他表示，0 Z% ?$ E. k/ j& C' _) v
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“这种印钞和贬值行为对于那些将债券作为财富储备的人来说并不好，而对债券和美国信贷市场不利的事情对每个人来说都是不利的。”( h# _+ n. @* U/ v* D1 \4 |# h
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BTC 的完美风暴？0 K, H8 c, I3 `- g3 ^8 C
加密货币领袖声称，这种可能的财政混乱和后果正是比特币存在的原因。' q2 l" V$ n3 c
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作为一种固定供应的数字资产，与美元等传统货币相比，它成为一种相对较好的价值储存手段。- _; s, \+ @; ~6 H( F4 a* v9 \
" b. e* S5 g1 C/ }) ?这些货币供应量无限，由各国央行随意印制。简而言之，BTC、黄金和其他稀缺商品的需求量将会很大。4 q& B0 u. [" _$ K9 v9 f
* q! r/ F' u2 n$ B/ a7 ?: L! v# _Bitwise 首席信息官 Matt Hougan 对 Dalio 的警告作出回应 敦促用户“购买比特币”。
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Real Vision 的 Raoul Pal 也赞同 Hougan 的观点，添加在这种贬值情况下，只有技术和加密货币才是更好的对冲工具。" u9 u |$ Z }( m% c
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“在长期牛市中，贬值对冲只有两种表现显著优异：科技和加密货币。”1 V! e- p2 s8 [% v/ x3 R8 K7 u# L& b
+ g B b9 M* k6 }* M! C$ N尽管达利欧公开表示承认与拥有一些 BTC 相比，他更倾向于黄金。9 O* {' J1 @9 S1 v4 M# ^) e, ^
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他表示，追踪黄金价格走势更容易，尤其是在冲突期间。但他发现追踪比特币价格走势却很难，因此得出结论，比特币仍然是一种投机行为。
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然而，对贝莱德的拉里·芬克来说，BTC 是数字黄金。事实上，他警告今年 4 月，如果财政债务得不到管理，人民币很容易取代美元成为世界储备货币。
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: H& j; p% o% @% n* I即便如此，财政部长斯科特·贝森特淡化与支出法案相关的债务问题。1 K: |: ]7 D* ]7 p/ K7 X6 Y
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“我们的 GDP 增长速度快于债务增长速度，这种趋势将持续到总统剩余的任期。”( Q' I0 X6 z0 N( c2 M
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与此同时，Coinbase 分析师警告“大美丽法案”将债务上限提高了 5 万亿美元。
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结果，美国财政部可能会补充（从市场借钱）其主要现金账户或TGA（国库普通账户），并挤压流动性，拖累包括BTC在内的风险资产。/ r0 w5 d( u9 I6 n, h3 B1 z5 B" m
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“TGA 的补充可能会在短期内消耗大盘的流动性，对所有风险资产构成明显的下行风险。”
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