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[虚拟币交流]
比特币行情预测：SEC首支多资产ETP能否助推BTC拉盘突破12万美元？-转
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BTC 当前在 $117,321 附近震荡，24 小时成交量约 494 亿美元，市值高达 2.33 万亿美元。尽管全球市场波动不断，比特币依然是机构配置里的「锚定资产」。 美联储最新一次 降息 25 个基点（自去年 12 月以来首次），为风险资产带来了新一轮动能。更低的借贷成本通常利好 BTC，投资者也因此更倾向于寻找传统资产之外的替代品。 与此同时，加密文化再添奇招：迷因币玩家在美国国会大厦附近立起一座 12 英尺的黄金川普手抱比特币雕像。虽然只是噱头，但也凸显了加密市场如何把ZZ、迷因与金融融为一体。 - BTC 市值：2.33 万亿美元
- 当前价格：$117,321
- 24h 成交量：494 亿美元
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$ k5 s# Q* Z9 lSEC放行Grayscale首支多资产加密ETP美SEC正式批准 Grayscale 的数字大盘基金（GLDC），這是美国首个多资产加密交易型产品（ETP）。該產品讓投資者一鍵打包接觸 BTC、ETH、XRP、SOL、ADA 等主流資產，而無需自行託管錢包或開交易所賬號。 这一操作延续了 现货比特币 ETF 的成功，同时也反映出监管层最新的上架标准——旨在简化加密基金在 纳斯达克 和 NYSE Arca 的审批流程。 Grayscale CEO Peter Mintzberg 表示，这次上线是加密迈向主流采用的重要里程碑。 该批准进一步巩固了 比特币作为机构级加密策略「压舱石」的地位，同时也显示投资者的兴趣正在逐步扩散至各大山寨币。 老挝押注比特币挖矿寻求“解债”出路 有“东南亚电池”之称的老挝，正考虑通过 比特币挖矿 来缓解其每年 13 亿美元水电债务。利用富余电力跑矿机，老挝有望把闲置能源转化为 全球流动性资产（BTC）。 老挝早在 2021 年就试水过比特币挖矿，但由于干旱和电网压力，2023 年叫停了新项目。如今随着债务压力加大，官方正重新评估 透过加密挖矿变现闲置能源 的可行性。 这一策略与 不丹、埃塞俄比亚类似，均是把可再生能源导向加密挖矿，也进一步强化了 比特币作为「数字能源货币」 的叙事。 4 q0 l, s' F: E7 R( k
: i: I8 Z- C/ b o% H8 q3 W% c比特币价格前瞻 – 技术面分析在 4小时K线图 上，BTC 正在 上升楔形 内震荡，现报约 $117,366。 - 50日均线（SMA） 在 $116,000，200日均线 在 $113,243，形成强力支撑。
- $115,800 附近多次K线下影反弹，显示多头持续守住关键区间。
- RSI 指标 59，动能有所降温，但未进入超买区。, u9 `7 `1 ~- c; O3 q
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整体来看，BTC 短线偏多头，若能突破楔形上沿，或有望开启新一轮上攻。
+ E# V( w9 v9 z如果 BTC 收盘站稳 $117,978 上方，有望上探 $119,287 与 $120,298，未来数周甚至可能冲击 $125K–$130K 区间。 相反，若跌破 $116,000 支撑，可能引发回调至 $114,400，甚至 $113,200。 当前盘面仍偏 谨慎看多，而从长期来看，若流动性与宏观顺风助推，BTC 有机会迈向 $500,000 超级牛市周期。
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