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[lastpost] => 2786438 加密矿企 Bitfury 拟对去中心化 AI 计算网络 Gonka 投资 5000 万美元 1764762429 比推快讯
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下周宏观展望：美联储降息板上钉钉，鹰鸽之争备受瞩目
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比推消息，下周美联储年内最后一次议息会议到来，鹰鸽之争备受瞩目。美联储将于周四凌晨 3:00（UTC+8）宣布利率决议，3:30（UTC+8）美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会。据 CME 美联储观察，下周降息 25 个基点的可能性为 84%。下周的美联储会议预计将是近年来最具争议的会议之一，投资者关注的焦点是政策制定者在降息前景上的分歧，以及美联储主席鲍威尔对政策未来走向发出的信号。联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12 名投票成员中有 5 人对进一步放松货币政策表示反对或怀疑，而理事会的 3 名成员则赞成降息。自 2019 年以来，FOMC 在任何一次会议上还没有出现过三个或三个以上的反对票，分歧使得异议人士受到密切关注。重要宏观数据与事件如下：
周二：
澳洲联储公布利率决议、澳洲联储主席布洛克召开货币政策新闻发布会；
周三：
美国第三季度劳工成本指数季率；加拿大央行公布利率决议；
周四：
美联储 FOMC 公布利率决议和经济预期摘要、美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会；
美国至 12 月 6 日当周初请失业金人数；
周五：
美联储公布 2025 年第三季资金流动报告中的美国家庭财务健康状况数据；
2026 年 F0MC 票委、费城联储主席保尔森就经济前景发表讲话；
2026 年 FOMC 票委、克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克发表讲话；
芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比在芝加哥联储第 39 届年度经济展望研讨会前参加主持人对话。
休市提醒：因圣诞前夕，周三美股纽交所提前于北京时间 25 日 02:00 休市；周四美股、欧洲多国股市、韩股以及澳股均休市，美国芝商所 (CME) 旗下贵金属、美油、外汇、股指期货合约交易以及美国洲际交易所 (ICE) 旗下布伦特原油期货合约交易全天暂停。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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