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[lastpost] => 2803260 Galaxy Digital 警告称比特币可能出现更深的回调（转） 1770141267 sq1001
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[虚拟币资讯]
Galaxy Digital 警告称比特币可能出现更深的回调（转）
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比特币在 1 月下旬的急剧抛售加剧了关于市场是否接近周期性底部，还是仅仅进入下一轮下跌的争论。
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据 Galaxy Digital 研究主管 Alex Thorn 称，近期价格走势表明下行风险依然较高，比特币可能在未来几周或几个月内向长期技术支撑位靠拢。* z! r/ X& D: w& S5 J5 g6 R
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Galaxy Digital警告称，比特币可能向58000美元附近的长期支撑位靠拢。
" m- Y# ]5 W' w. L8 {# n: Q. x* mThorn 在一份发给 Galaxy 客户的研究报告中表示，比特币价格可能会走低，接近 70,000 美元，然后在未来几周或几个月内可能会跌至 200 周移动平均线（约 60,000 美元）。6 x4 d+ Q" z$ R
6 m' R! C. E' ?) v“……从历史数据来看，这些价位一直是长期投资者的绝佳入场点。”写道刺。
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比特币在1月28日至31日期间下跌了约15%，仅周六一天就下跌了10%，引发了市场动荡。超过20亿美元的长期清算涉及所有衍生品交易场所。值得注意的是，这是有史以来规模最大的清算事件之一。
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在 Coinbase 交易所，比特币价格一度跌至 75,644 美元，跌幅接近 10%。低于美国现货比特币ETF的平均成本基础估计价值约 84,000 美元。) u! t) `6 j" ~- Q
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比特币也曾一度如此。跌破了Strategy的平均购买价格，接近76,000美元。并接近了 2025 年 4 月的“关税风暴”低点。7 \. j( `3 Z$ L# o, O
$ V/ f6 \( R7 t! Q: L* w. B2 j' [此次下跌导致越来越多的投资者蒙受损失。索恩指出，目前比特币流通供应量中约有 46% 处于亏损状态，这一比例在历史上通常与熊市后期相关。
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7 m& j1 ~/ V- u% |! e5 T链上数据也揭示了一个薄弱环节。所有权范围在7万至8万美元之间Thorn 表示，随着需求受到考验，这一领域可能会增加进一步下跌的可能性。
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' F0 \6 K1 |; \4 X! }“链上数据、关键价格水平的疲软、宏观经济的不确定性以及缺乏短期催化剂表明，未来几周或几个月内，比特币价格将走低，向200周移动均线靠拢，”Thorn说道。写道在后续帖子中。# i! e. U/ P+ J" B7 t, G7 @
1 f5 D# \: n- X他还补充说，目前接近 56,000 美元的实际价格和 58,000 美元左右的 200 周移动平均线，历史上在周期底部附近都会趋于一致。1 e; m8 b- ~3 o) b( s; ]6 V! N
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