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近日中东局势紧张,避险情绪升温,收市前金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。
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2月28日,美国开始在伊朗实施重大作战行动。
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消息传出后,加密货币大幅跳水,比特币直线暴跌,一度跌破63500美元,主流币种集体跳水。7 `5 O$ G" N7 U5 s5 F
8 `7 u3 n+ _" c2 `8 S避险资产黄金、白银及原油则在上周五周末休市前已强势走高,市场普遍预期下周开盘后,大宗商品市场将出现剧烈波动。; o- R& d, [5 w5 j; a/ H
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2月27日收市前,国际金、银、油价格已齐齐走高。其中伦敦收报每盎司5278美元,盘中最高触及每盎司5281美元;一度突破94美元。
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; P1 z/ m/ a* J$ Y原油市场同样反应激烈。由于中东局势急转直下,市场担忧原油供应面临直接威胁,截至当天收盘,美国价格收于每桶67.02美元,涨幅为2.78%;伦敦价格收于每桶72.48美元,涨幅为2.45%。地缘风险溢价已迅速计入油价。
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7 e: |1 v8 ]: y& y随着周末休市,交易员们虽暂时离场,但对下周开盘后的行情预判却未停止。一位交易人士对记者称,本次中东冲突的烈度与持续性,将成为左右下周金融市场的核心变量。目前市场普遍预期,下周国际与油价可能出现较大波动。2 a" ]. f; l0 L# `, \2 k5 l( b+ e. B: ^
2 Z4 Q% {+ X0 ]/ d8 `“对于黄金而言,若冲突持续升级,避险资金将进一步涌入,金价有望挑战新高,”上述交易人士进一步分析称,但局势不确定性大,也需警惕获利盘了结带来的回调压力。
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4 W( e" o5 F8 B+ D对于原油,情况更为复杂。当前油价上涨的核心驱动是地缘冲突预期带来的风险溢价。地处霍尔木兹海峡承担着全球约20%的原油海运贸易,目前市场对其航运安全十分敏感,甚至不需要实际的供应中断,就会推高油价。
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北京师范大学教授万喆表示,当前全球原油市场的基本面是供应过剩的,油价上涨已完全脱离了供需的基本面,如果局势发生缓和,价格也有可能会快速回调。' p. @5 y6 u; a3 f ]$ ? c. e
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当前离线
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中东局势一紧张,果然避险资产先涨了,资金都往这跑啊 |
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