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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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9 \1 C; I3 T/ b# @4 j
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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为什么？
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。; u; D8 i$ j9 p& X
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。" W$ j3 K! `- P% `8 S6 `, J
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。6 L, q0 {' X0 A! d/ d
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
( |9 T; M9 b) f2 s 第一把输，你没有了。: c2 s T# r+ k% {3 o0 a
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。 Z. [5 t+ |8 d, V. g/ i! \6 L
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
5 T7 K( m. q& F# b7 P$ Z+ Q e1 h …………无限下去。
% l1 P; {/ b9 @1 I清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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5 ^6 n' R5 f, j I" V是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。4 B: U7 h% I/ [1 R x x/ u6 J, [
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这就是总是输的原因。。- x+ S$ i/ |* W* H
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？7 B/ O- b7 W$ B- @ G
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。2 C- e( V1 x- i
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。! t: C0 J) J" y
$ [2 ^* R8 l2 f. T+ X* |: @人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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