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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了,下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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9 u8 R/ w& }# e有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50,输赢各半的结果,但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。* T( S+ t# @; p# w7 l/ F
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50,输赢是对半,但是我们真正玩起来,许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。3 O) ^% O, m2 a2 I9 y; G
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为什么?
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/ ]: v4 b( @! I: d% v* ?7 R1、因为下注的次数太多了(任何人都逃不过5050)。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
+ u8 m. N3 P- V4 [$ H: i g: e( E2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样,也可能是5050。7 ?3 d2 X- f( z- ]6 g
假如你只有最后一个码了,而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。/ @2 S q: _$ d! Q6 W8 H% @
第一把赢,你有两个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/4
7 P6 f' o: d7 e& } 第一把输,你没有了。: _9 ~: P( E6 |! p% ]4 L" Z8 i
第二把赢,你有三个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/8。
2 A$ p7 ~& m7 Z 第二把输赢,你还可以继续。。7 `# Y/ r" k+ B" }+ ~1 Z
…………无限下去。; X/ w" D5 i* h3 {! G
清袋的概念,不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……4 S! v" @2 {) d
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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" d3 w# B3 I- I2 _! ]6 s这就是总是输的原因。。$ l$ D' r- J8 C0 J
; D4 X% v1 N8 v为什么我还要继续玩下去呢??" _' n- A# N8 J. a& `
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。
) r& K7 G" c3 {2、存送1%,返水1%,加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。0 A0 d. F8 ?2 k; I, s: F
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但是,这,,,只是理论,实践考虑的因素更多。。
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人的心态不可控,人的行为不可控,人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择,所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择,运气不好的话,就会连续选择错误,也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的,在正常的不作弊的情况下,庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半,庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了,反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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